thetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $219.51EOD only
Max Pain
$215.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.50
2.0% from close
Price Gap
-4.51
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
40
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.80
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
NVDA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 7, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 7, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 21, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because strong GEX pinning and net premium inflows align multiple signals, but elevated short-dated IV and concentrated expiries create a tangible event/volatility risk window that can quickly invalidate short-premium or one-sided directional plays; absence of confirming large-flow prints reduces conviction from a higher score.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market is pinned in the $175–$180 neighborhood with dealer gamma and concentrated OI creating a short-term magnet that favors range-bound or modestly bullish outcomes rather than a clean directional breakout.

Where They Diverge

Theta-oriented premium-selling wants to deploy into elevated short-dated IV, but the Earnings/Directional view sees concentrated near-term expiries and event mechanics that can produce pin-release vol spikes — that directly undermines aggressive front-week naked/overweight short premium. Flow intelligence (mixed) also leaves open the risk that institutional prints could overwhelm dealer gamma and force a swift repricing, conflicting with steady pin continuation.

Top Trade
via directional

Sell 2026-04-24 175/170 put spread for a net credit (receive premium) — defined-risk bearish-to-neutral directional play that profits if pin holds above ~175 through that weekly.

Key Risk

A decisive close below $170 (sustained through the close) would flip dealer gamma exposure, trigger stop cascades and institutional repricing, and accelerate downside toward the $140 structural gap — this single outcome invalidates the pin/neutral-bull thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 7, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.