thetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $215.33EOD only
Max Pain
$220.00
Next expiry May 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.51
2.1% from close
Price Gap
+4.67
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
51
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.79
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 22, 2026 close
NVDA Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close May 26, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

NVDA bullish flow pinning near max pain, high IV, no imminent earnings

Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 1.2% from MP; +1 VIX 17
Most important: Unusual call activity at $212.5 and $215 strikes
🐂Unusual call vol 157x OI at $212.5 bullish
⚠️6/1 $175 put IV 63% tail hedge

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
Below

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-08-26 (92 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-05-27 (1d): ±$3.36 (1.6%)
  • 2026-05-29 (3d): ±$6.40 (3.0%)
  • 2026-06-01 (6d): ±$7.90 (3.7%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Steep contango: 0DTE low IV, next day elevated, weekly high

Crush estimate: N/A - no earnings event

Skew: Put IV elevated for weeklies, call activity dominates

Historical Context

Beat rate: 100% (5/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: N/A

Directional bias: Bullish based on current flow

Key Levels

1EM guardrails: 2d $211.51/$218.22; 1w $206.96/$222.76
2Max pain pins: $218 (2026-05-26); $220 (2026-05-27); $210 (2026-05-29)

Flow Highlights

0DTE $212.5 Call vol/OI 157x

Aggressive bullish delta hedging

6/1 $175 Put IV 63.3%

Tail hedge buying

Strategies

Risk Assessment

!Gamma pinning at $218 max pain
!High VIX may expand vol
!Spot below MP suggests mean reversion risk

What to Watch

?$218 max pain pin
?$212.5/$215 call activity
?Spot reclaiming $217.5 resistance
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on May 26, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.