Term structure: Steep front-week IV (~53–54%) then rolls down to mid-term ~46–49% — front-end premium vs mid-dates
Spot vs MP: Below
GEX regime: Trending ($-40.3M)
Gamma flip: ~$60.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 13,977 (29.2% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put OI concentrated around $93–98; notable call wall above spot at ~105–110 (not $60–65)
#1Call diagonal
Sell 2026-06-18 $100.00 call / buy 2026-08-21 $95.00 call
Capture front-month premium, lower cost roll into post-earnings back month
Mgmt: Close or roll if spot reclaims ~$98–100 or IV collapses; tighten after earnings
#2PMCC / LEAPS diagonal
Buy 2026-09-18 $80.00 call + sell 2026-06-18 $92.00 call
Sell near-term call against LEAP to harvest premium and span earnings
Mgmt: Monitor pin risk at $92–98; buy back short if heavy pin/IV spike or breach invalidation
!Front-week IV elevated—fast gap risk
!Dealer GEX negative ~-$40M increases directional dealer gamma exposure
!Max-pain pins nearby—watch expiry flows and liquidity