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MRVL

Marvell Technology, Inc.Close $310.58EOD only
Max Pain
$262.50
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$39.85
12.8% from close
Price Gap
-48.08
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.21
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MRVL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 18, 2026 close
MRVL Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 18, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

MRVL 70d to earnings; IV high, 80% beat rate bullish, heavy put buying 320-325 warns of hedging.

Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 55.3% from MP; +1 VIX 16
Most important: Unusual put volume at $320/$325 (vol/oi >40x) signals hedging amid bullish flow.
🛡️Heavy put buying 320-325; bearish.
📈Call-dominant flow; bullish.
⚠️IV high; 12.8% expected move in 8d.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
Above
Gamma flip: ~$287.50 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 15,729 (7.4% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-08-27 (70 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-26 (8d): ±$39.85 (12.8%)
  • 2026-07-02 (14d): ±$52.07 (16.8%)
  • 2026-07-10 (22d): ±$62.12 (20.0%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Steep contango: 8d ±12.8%, 14d ±16.8%, 22d ±20%.

Crush estimate: N/A (70d to event).

Skew: Put OI density at 287.5; call wall at 330.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 80% (4/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: 80% beat rate; avg move unavailable.

Directional bias: Bullish on history and QQQ.

Key Levels

1$287.50 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 1w $270.73/$350.43
3Max pain pins: $200 (2026-06-18); $262 (2026-06-26); $260 (2026-07-02)

Flow Highlights

Heavy put buying at $320-$325 (vol/oi 48x,42x).

Hedging/bearish bet.

Large call volume at $335 (18k vol,15x OI).

Bullish speculation.

Strategies

Iron Condor
Sell 2026-06-26 $290.00/$267.50 put wing and $342.50/$372.50 call wing
Credit: $9.50-$11.61
Max loss: $18.39
Max gain: $11.61
BE: 278.39 / 354.11
Trigger: Close at 50% max gain or before earnings.
Captures range-bound outlook near support $287.5 and resistance $330; put wall caps upside.
Outperforms: Sell put spread $290/$267.5 and call spread $342.5/$372.5 to collect premium in high IV.
Underperforms: Move outside short strikes invalidates range thesis.
Call Calendar
Sell 2026-06-26 $330.00 call / buy 2026-07-24 $330.00 call
Debit: $17.75-$21.70
Max loss: $21.70
Max gain: Variable
BE: Path-dependent
Trigger: Exit below $287.5 support.
Exploits contango and bullish bias; sell premium decay, long vol expansion.
Outperforms: Sell near-term $330 call, buy back-month $330 call.
Underperforms: Loss of support or adverse vol term shift weakens thesis.

Risk Assessment

!Put wall $320-$325 caps upside.
!Gamma flip $287.5 support; break triggers sell-off.
!High IV, earnings decay.

What to Watch

?Support $287.5, $258.5.
?Resistance $330, $362.65.
?Put activity $320-$325.
?Earnings Aug 27.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 18, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.