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MRVL

Marvell Technology, Inc.Close $266.88EOD only
Max Pain
$262.50
Next expiry Jun 12, 2026
Expected Move
±$25.45
9.5% from close
Price Gap
-4.38
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
80
High premium
P/C OI
1.12
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 9, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MRVL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 9, 2026 close
MRVL Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 9, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

Bullish flow with heavy call buying, but 79 days to earnings limits near-term catalyst; high IV in near options.

Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 1.7% from MP; +0.5 VIX 20
Most important: Heavy call volume in near-term $260-$285 strikes suggests bullish sentiment, but max pain $262 indicates pinning risk.
📈Heavy call flow with 18x volume/OI at $260C indicates strong bullish conviction.
⚠️Massive $210 put volume (15.6k) flags downside hedging or bearish sentiment despite overall bullish flow.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
Above

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-08-27 (79 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-12 (3d): ±$25.45 (9.5%)
  • 2026-06-18 (9d): ±$39.78 (14.9%)
  • 2026-06-26 (17d): ±$50.80 (19.0%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Steep contango; near-term (3d) IV ~110%, 9d ~115%, 17d ~113%.

Crush estimate: Significant crush expected post-earnings (Aug 27); near-term options may decay faster.

Skew: Put skew elevated at low strikes; $210P saw large volume.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 80% (4/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: 80% beat rate; moves often exceed implied move.

Directional bias: Consistent upside post-earnings last 4 quarters.

Key Levels

1EM guardrails: 2d $241.43/$292.33; 1w $227.11/$306.66
2Max pain pins: $262 (2026-06-12); $150 (2026-06-18); $200 (2026-06-26)

Flow Highlights

MRVL 2026-06-12 $260 Call unusual volume 8758 vs OI 482 (vol/OI 18.2)

Aggressive bullish positioning in near-term OTM calls.

MRVL 2026-06-12 $210 Put volume 15599, vol/OI 10.3

Large put buying at deep OTM strike, likely hedging or bearish bet.

Strategies

Sell Premium Ahead of Earnings
Sell 2026-06-12 $245.00 put + sell $290.00 call
Credit: $8.35-$10.20
Max loss: Unlimited
Max gain: $10.20
BE: 234.80 / 300.20
Trigger: Close at 50% max profit or 30 days before earnings; adjust if spot nears strikes.
High IV (112%+) and contango favor sellers; bullish flow but 79-day gap limits catalyst; max pain $262 supports OTM strikes.
Outperforms: Sells $245 put and $290 call to capture IV crush and time decay.
Underperforms: Break outside short strikes invalidates short-vol thesis.

Risk Assessment

!High IV decay near term
!79 days to earnings reduces catalyst
!Max pain $262 suggests pinning risk

What to Watch

?Spot relative to max pain $262
?Call OI wall at $300
?Unusual put activity at $210
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 9, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.