ThetaOwl

INTC

Intel CorporationClose $62.38EOD only
Max Pain
$48.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.31
6.9% from close
Price Gap
-14.38
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
78
High premium
P/C OI
0.94
Balanced positioning
Consensus
5.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 10, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects INTC options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 10, 2026 close
INTC Theta Report
Analysis based on market close April 10, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness8 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Defined-risk call spreads (sell 65/70) and 30–45 DTE put spreads (cash-secured / defined-risk) — favor defined-risk credit selling because of earnings and high IV
Invalidation: Close below $58.07 (1-week EM lower guardrail) — extended move below this removes pin support and forces defense
Confidence:
7 / 10
base 7.0 (given); +1 high IV (Avg IV 78.6%); +1 strong positive GEX ($137.4M) supporting pin; -1 spot 24.8% above max pain ($50) increases tail to downside

IV Environment

IV Regime
High
IV vs VIX
IV Avg 78.6% vs VIX unknown — absolute IV is very elevated for a large-cap semiconductor
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Very steep front-to-mid curve: 7d ATM 62.5% → 14d ATM 87.3% → 21–35d ATM 81.1%/73.6% (humped; short-dated skewed rich around next two expiries) — front-week and 2-week are rich

💰Avg IV 78.6% — rich premium to collect
🧲Positive GEX $137.4M creates pinning magnets at strikes (60, 62.50, 65)

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Spot $62.38 is above max pain $50.00 (MP trend falling) — distance ~+24.8%

GEX regime: Pinning (GEX +$137.4M) — dealers currently long gamma net and likely to pin into OI concentrations

OI concentrations: Call walls: $70.00 (71,350/29,166 OI), $65.00 (31,912 OI), $60.00 (38,861 OI). Put walls: $35.00 (28,280 OI), $40.00 (25,883 OI), $50.00 (22,571 OI). Strong GEX concentration at $65 (+$13.7M), $60 (+$13.6M), $62.50 (+$3.4M)

Verdict: Favorable — pinning and large positive GEX make defined-risk credit selling (call spreads and put spreads) attractive, but be mindful of earnings and directional flow at $50/$65 strikes

Premium Opportunities

#1
call spread
Sell 65/70C 2026-04-24 (14 DTE) — defined-risk bear call spread
High IV and large call GEX/oi concentration at $65 (+$13.7M; 31,912 OI) creates a pin magnet just above spot; defined-risk call spread captures rich front-mid premium and limits assignment risk into earnings window.
Credit: $0.80-$0.95
Max loss: $4.05
BE: $65.95
Mgmt: Take profit at 50–65% of max credit collected; if short 65 is tested (underlying ≥65) consider rolling up 2–5 strikes or close; cut losses if price >70 (the short spread width) or if IV spikes >+20% intraday
#2
put spread (cash-secured / defined-risk)
Sell 60/55P 2026-05-15 (35 DTE)
30–45 DTE preferred for theta sellers; 60 has big GEX (+$13.6M) and strong OI (38,861) providing put-side support via dealer hedging. ATM-mid-term IV (May 15 ATM ~73.6%) is elevated, paying better credit than short week while avoiding extreme weekly risk.
Credit: $1.20-$1.60
Max loss: $3.40
BE: $58.80
Mgmt: Close at 65% of max profit; if price falls and tests short 60, roll down 2–3 strikes or close to preserve capital; cut losses and close spread if price closes below $58.07 (1-week EM lower guardrail) or if IV collapses >30%
#3
iron condor
Sell 60/62.5P (buy 55P) and 65/70C (buy 75C) 2026-05-22 (42 DTE) — wide iron condor centered inside 1–2 week EM
Combines the pinning magnets at 60/62.50/65 and collects high IV across both wings; defined risk on both sides reduces assignment risk during earnings tail and benefits from positive GEX pin behavior.
Credit: $1.10-$1.40
Max loss: $3.60
BE: Lower ~58.90 / Upper ~66.60
Mgmt: Take profit at 50% of max credit; tighten or close if either short strike is tested (underlying ≤62.5 or ≥65); cut losses if underlying closes beyond either breakeven for two consecutive sessions
#4
covered call (buy-write)
Buy 100 shares; sell 65C 2026-05-15 (35 DTE)
If you want equity exposure, selling the 65C collects rich premium (chain shows 65C mid around $3.10–3.25 in longer weekly chains) while aligning with the $65 pin magnet; this converts directional exposure into an income trade.
Credit: $3.10-$3.25
Max loss: Stock risk minus call credit (unlimited downside)
BE: $59.28
Mgmt: Close call at 70% of max premium if stock rallies toward 65; consider buyback and roll up if assigned; cut stock if it breaks and holds below $58.07 EM guardrail

Risk Alerts

!Earnings 2026-04-23 (in ~13 days) — do not sell naked (unhedged) through earnings; prefer defined-risk or close positions prior to release
!Large positive GEX +$137.4M → pinning can compress moves but can also amplify direction if dealers lose hedging control; be ready to manage short strikes if price moves toward $65 or $60
!Heavy institutional call flow into $50 and $65 strikes (Top premium flow: $50 net call $12.2M; $65 net call $11.7M) — one-sided flow can reprice skew quickly
!Unusual activity: concentrated 4/17 and 4/24 puts at $62.50 and $60 — these ITM/near-ITM flows can bring assignment/early-exercise pressure on short puts during the week
!IV is already very elevated (Avg IV 78.6%) — watch for large IV collapses post-earnings which can hurt calendar/timing trades; defined-risk spreads preferred into event

Read the Theta analysis for INTC for 2026-04-10. Each report is a market-close snapshot with regime read, key levels, and strategy context that translates options positioning into an actionable setup.