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INTC

Intel CorporationClose $120.29EOD only
Max Pain
$95.00
Next expiry May 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$7.05
5.9% from close
Price Gap
-25.29
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
97
High premium
P/C OI
1.20
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects INTC options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 13, 2026 close
INTC Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close May 14, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

INTC with strong bullish flow and gamma pinning near $115-$116, but earnings 70 days away; near-term IV elevated by unusual call activity.

Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 22.0% from MP; +1 VIX 17
Most important: Heavy call concentration at $115-$117 driving pinning; support at $110, resistance at $120.
🐂Heavy call activity at $115-$117 signals bullish conviction.
⚠️Deep OTM put buying at $30 suggests hedging, not bearish bet.
📌Gamma pinning likely near $115-$116 due to call OI concentration.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
Above
Gamma flip: ~$110.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 44,393 (5.1% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-07-23 (70 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-05-15 (1d): ±$5.39 (4.7%)
  • 2026-05-22 (8d): ±$12.78 (11.0%)
  • 2026-05-29 (15d): ±$16.07 (13.9%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Upward sloping from 5/15 (IV ~78%) to 5/22 (IV ~89%) to 5/29 (expected move 13.9%).

Crush estimate: N/A – earnings not near; no crush expected.

Skew: Put skew steep at low strikes; deep OTM puts ($30) trading with elevated IV.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 80% (4/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Not applicable (inter-earnings period).

Directional bias: Bullish near-term based on flow.

Key Levels

1$110.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 2d $110.54/$121.33; 1w $103.16/$128.71
3Max pain pins: $95 (2026-05-15); $109 (2026-05-22); $100 (2026-05-29)

Flow Highlights

Massive call volume at $115-$117 strikes for 5/15 and 5/22.

Indicates aggressive bullish bets near the money, likely driving pinning and support.

Unusual put buying at $30 and $101 strikes.

Deep OTM puts suggest tail-risk hedging; $101 put may be downside protection near support.

Strategies

Call Calendar
Sell 2026-05-22 $115.00 call / buy 2026-06-18 $115.00 call
Debit: $5.24-$6.41
Max loss: $6.41
Max gain: Variable
BE: Path-dependent
Trigger: Exit if spot breaks $110; adjust strikes on trend shift.
Upward term structure and bullish flow support premium sale near pinning level with upside exposure.
Outperforms: Sell May $115 call, buy June $115 call to collect theta from upward IV slope.
Underperforms: Loss of support or adverse vol term shift weakens thesis.

Risk Assessment

!Gamma risk: heavy call OI could amplify upside if spot breaks above $117, but also pinning risk near $115-$116.
!Downside risk: if spot loses $110 support, put OI at $101 and $94 may weigh.

What to Watch

?Call OI at $115-$117 for expiration pinning.
?Spot relative to $110 support and $120 resistance.
?Any increase in put volume at $101 or $94.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on May 14, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.