ThetaOwl

GS

Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The)Close $907.80EOD only
Max Pain
$860.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$40.27
4.4% from close
Price Gap
-47.80
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
70
High premium
P/C OI
0.86
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 10, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects GS options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 10, 2026 close
GS Directional Report
Analysis based on market close April 6, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Outlook

Neutral-to-bullish with upside magnet to $900-$925. Confidence: 7.5/10. Strong pinning GEX +$5.7M and net premium +$45.3M support upside, but spot 3.1% above max pain creates gravitational pull lower.

Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow aligned; +1 GEX positive; -0.5 spot above MP
Supports: GEX +$5.7M (pinning), net premium +$45.3M, P/C OI 0.88 (call-heavy)
Conflicts: Spot $866.05 vs MP $840-$850, P/C vol 1.15 (put volume dominance)
📊GEX pinning near $865-$925
⚖️Spot 3.1% above MP creates downside gravity

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
Normal
IV 41.9% — elevated but no VIX context
Gamma Regime
Pinning
GEX +$5.7M concentrated near spot; pinning regime favors mean reversion
Flow Regime
Mixed
Net prem +$45.3M bullish; P/C vol 1.15 mixed
Spot vs Max Pain
Above
Spot $866.05 above MP $840-$850
Thesis duration: Multi-week — Max pain flat ~$840 across expirations; GEX sign stable positive; flow regime consistent

Price Range Forecast

Next 2 weeks
$801.85$930.25
GEX pinning dominates; <$840 invalidates

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $840 (2026-04-10); $850 (2026-04-17); $825 (2026-04-24)
EM guardrails:
Support: $840.00 · $830.00 · $800.00
Resistance: $900.00 · $925.00 · $930.00
Gamma flip: ~$740.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 2,105 (14.6% below spot)
Structural: Call OI wall $925-$1280 caps upside; put floor $450-$800 distant

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $+5.7M

DEX: +8.6M shares

Gamma flip: ~$740 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 2,105 (14.6% below spot))

NTM gamma: Positive GEX concentrated at $900/$925; negative GEX below $740

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: IV 41.9% — no VIX context

Term structure: Humped — 4/17 47.3% > 4/10 41.8% > 4/24 44.2%

Skew: 4/17 vs 4/24 ~3.1 vol-pt differential

Flow Analysis

Net premium: +$45.3M bullish; P/C vol 1.15 mixed

Directional prints: put 830 OTM 2026-04-10 — vol 383 vs OI 207 (1.9x) — likely bought as protection call 900 OTM 2026-04-17 — vol 241 vs OI 2,388 — likely sold against OI wall

Unusual: 55.5 put 290 OTM 2027-01-15 — vol 709 vs OI 130 (5.5x) — structural hedge

Risks & Catalysts

!Gamma flip ~$740 accelerates downside
!Earnings 4/13 adds event risk
!Spot above MP creates pull to $840
!IV hump at 4/17 may crush post-expiry

Strategy Viability

StrategyEdgeBest SetupPrimary Risk
Long stockModerateBuy sharesMP pull to $840
Short stockWeakAvoid — GEX positivePinning upward
Covered callModerate-StrongOwn shares, sell $900 call 4/17Break above $925
Cash-secured put / put spreadModerate-StrongSell $840/$830 put spread 4/17Earnings miss
Long callsModerateBuy $880 call 4/24IV crush post-4/17
Long puts / bear put spreadsModerate-WeakAvoid — GEX positivePinning upward
Iron condorModerate-Strong$840/$830P x $925/$935C 4/17Earnings volatility
Calendar/diagonalModerateSell 4/17 $900 call (IV 44.3%), buy 4/24 $900 call (IV 44.2%) — regular calendarSpot moves through $900
PMCC / LEAPS diagonalModerateBuy 2027-01-15 $800 call, sell 4/17 $900 callTime decay on short leg

Top Plays

#1
Put Spread
Sell $840/$830 put spread 4/17
Defined-risk premium below MP with GEX pinning support
Credit: $2.50-$3.50
Max loss: $7.50
BE: $837.50
Mgmt: Close at 60-70% max profit; exit if spot <$825
Premium sellers comfortable with earnings risk
#2
Covered Call
Own shares, sell $900 call 4/17
Capitalizes on pinning toward $900 with OI wall resistance
Credit: $11.90-$13.40
Max loss: unlimited
Mgmt: Roll up if spot >$910; close if pin breaks
Shareholders seeking income
#3
Iron Condor
$840/$830P x $925/$935C 4/17
Range-bound play between MP and call OI wall with positive GEX
Credit: $3.00-$4.00
Max loss: $7.00
BE: $837.00
Mgmt: Close at 50% max profit; adjust if spot breaches $840 or $925
Neutral traders with defined risk

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers
IFSpot tags $840, holds 1 hourSell $840/$830 put spread 4/17
IFIV on 4/17 drops below 40%Buy $880 call 4/24
Exit Triggers
EXITVIX spikes >10% and spot <$830Exit all short premium
EXITPost-earnings 4/13, IV crushes 20%Take profit on calendar spreads

Tactical Summary

Neutral-to-bullish pinning toward $900-$925 with MP gravity at $840. Invalidation: <$825. Favors short premium around the pin. Top plays: put spread for defined risk, covered call for shareholders, iron condor for neutral range.

Read the Directional analysis for GS for 2026-04-06. Each report is a market-close snapshot with regime read, key levels, and strategy context that translates options positioning into an actionable setup.