GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.Close $332.29EOD onlyThis page reflects GOOGL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.
Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.
Outlook
Bullish bias overall but time-dependent: expect pinning to low‑330s into the nearest expiries (1–3 days) due to dealer long gamma and concentrated max‑pain; if expiries pass or sustained buy flow/volume breaks through 346 with >$200M call-dominant flow, upside toward 348–350 becomes likely within 1–2 weeks.
Conflicts: Short-term max-pain in low 330s vs. multi-day dealer-driven upside if heavy follow-through.
Regime Classification
Price Range Forecast
Key Levels
Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)
GEX: $+210.6M
DEX: +75.6M shares
Gamma flip: N/A
NTM gamma: GEX +$210.6M, DEX +75.6M shares — dealers long gamma; flip expected if spot >346.5–347.5 or if ~0.5–1.0M call deltas are sold (≈$200M+ call flow).
IV Analysis
IV vs VIX: IV roughly in line with VIX (normal); no large cheap/rich edge—directional exposure favored.
Term structure: Flat-normal with near-dated kink at expiries (max-pain low 330s) and modest steepening post-expiry.
Skew: Limited skew; sell premium into pin or buy calls on confirmed break above 346 with volume.
Flow Analysis
Net premium: Large net premium inflow; call-skewed flow supports bullish/pinning bias.
Directional prints: 4.1 call 340 OTM 2026-04-22 — Very large same-day call sweep (36k vol, 4.9k OI) — likely buyer-initiated bullish gamma exposure; leans directional buy. 11.1 call 337.5 ITM 2026-04-22 — Heavy same-day call flow (24.6k vol, 2.16k OI) — reinforces intraday upside positioning, probable buys. 9.6 call 342.5 OTM 2026-04-22 — Large same-day calls (22.3k vol, 1.19k OI) — confirms clustered short-dated call demand; bullish read.
Unusual: 48 call 375 OTM 2026-05-01 — Very high vol/oi and IV — likely directional or structured block; unusual size for farther-dated calls. 5.3 put 337.5 OTM 2026-04-22 — Extremely high same-day put vol/oi (20.3) with low IV (not near-zero) — trade looks suspicious (possible wash, exercise/assignment, or reporting anomaly); recheck raw print and price data before firm read. 11.3 put 335 OTM 2026-04-22 — Large same-day put volume (11.9k vol, 2.19k OI) — notable hedging or protective buying against pin risk.
Risks & Catalysts
Strategy Viability
| Strategy | Edge | Best Setup | Primary Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Put credit spread | Moderate-Strong | Sell 2026-05-08 $317.50/$290.00 put spread Why now: Bullish-biased flow + dealer long gamma causing pin to low-330s into expiries makes short OTM puts attractive for yield; defined risk if pin deepens. | Pin-induced sharp drop into low 330s may widen short put losses before roll; needs active management post-expiry. |
| Bull call spread | Moderate | Buy 2026-05-08 $352.50/$375.00 call spread Why now: If call-dominant buy flow (> $200M) appears after expiries, upside toward 348–350 likely; a near-dated vertical captures convexity with limited debit. | Requires follow-through after expiry; premium decay and lack of follow-through can cap returns. |
| Cash-secured put | Moderate-Weak | Sell 2026-05-08 $322.50 cash-secured put Why now: Pinning toward low-330s increases chance of filled, attractive long entry while collecting premium; aligns with event-specific duration and post-expiry reassessment. | Stock assignment if pin deepens; needs cash reserve and willingness to own shares. |
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Watchlist Triggers
Tactical Summary
Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.
Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.
These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.