thetaOwl

FXI

iShares China Large-Cap ETFClose $37.23EOD only
Max Pain
$36.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.44
1.2% from close
Price Gap
-1.23
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
84
High premium
P/C OI
1.06
Balanced positioning
Consensus
5.5/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects FXI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
FXI Theta Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness6 / 10
Sizing: Conservative
Primary: Short-dated defined credit (e.g., put credit spread)
Invalidation: Sustained break below $36 or VIX>25 with broad IV widening
Confidence:
8.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 4.4% from MP; +1 VIX 17

IV Environment

IV Regime
Normal
IV vs VIX
Near-term ATM IV subdued vs multi-week elevated tails; short-dated expiries show steep put skew and higher tail IVs, making selling selective and time-dependent.
Favorable?
No

Term structure: Front-week skew steep; 2–6 week term shows elevated tails but mixed levels beyond 4w.

📌Pin pressure concentrated near $36; short-dated put OI heavy — increases risk if spot drifts toward strike.
⚠️Near-expiry gamma/assignment risk and upcoming expiries/earnings amplify short-dated premium-selling danger.
⚖️Avg IV ~32% with VIX~17—baseline moderate but asymmetric tails make selective, defined-risk selling preferable.

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Above

GEX regime: Pinning ($+84.4M)

Gamma flip: ~$37.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 179,263 (1.6% below spot)

OI concentrations: Puts clustered $35–$36 (179,263 OI, ~1.6% below spot) concentrated in short-dated expiries.

Verdict: Moderate pin risk — possible if spot drifts toward $36 before expiry given concentrated short-dated OI; probability tempered by days-to-expiry and dealer adjustments.

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-05-15 $37.00/$35.00 put spread
Sell 2026-05-15 37/35 put spread to collect skewed premium with defined risk.
Credit: $0.38-$0.47
Max loss: $1.53
BE: $36.53
Mgmt: Close or roll if FXI nears 37, IV spikes, or sustained break <36.
#2
Iron condor
Sell 2026-05-22 $37.00/$35.00 put wing and $39.00/$40.00 call wing
Sell 2026-05-22 37/35 put wing and 39/40 call wing to harvest elevated wing IVs.
Credit: $0.56-$0.68
Max loss: $1.32
BE: 36.32 / 39.68
Mgmt: Widen, hedge or unwind if price breaches wings or IV term structure blows out. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_put: Wide spread (57%).; long_put: Wide spread (79%).; long_call: Wide spread (55%).
#3
Cash-secured put
Sell 2026-05-15 $37.00 cash-secured put
Sell 2026-05-15 37 cash-secured put to monetize short-dated put skew.
Credit: $0.55-$0.67
Max loss: $36.33
BE: $36.33
Mgmt: Monitor for early assignment; close if spot drifts toward 37 or IV spikes.

Risk Alerts

!Early assignment risk on short puts
!Near-expiry gamma pinch / upcoming expiries or earnings
!VIX spike / IV term blowout
!Directional move >4% from max pain
!Dealer flow reversal (GEX turns negative)

Read the Theta analysis for FXI for 2026-04-17. Each report is a market-close snapshot with regime read, key levels, and strategy context that translates options positioning into an actionable setup.