thetaOwl

FXI

iShares China Large-Cap ETFClose $37.33EOD only
Max Pain
$37.00
Next expiry May 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.84
2.3% from close
Price Gap
-0.33
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
91
High premium
P/C OI
0.89
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: May 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects FXI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 12, 2026 close
FXI Theta Report
Analysis based on market close May 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness8 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Bullish Put Credit Spreads
Invalidation: Break below $37 gamma flip or VIX > 20
Confidence:
8.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 3.4% from MP; +1 VIX 18

IV Environment

IV Regime
Normal
IV vs VIX
IV elevated relative to VIX (32.5% vs 17.9)
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Front-end elevated, decaying after 2w, with anomalies in June 26 expiry

⚠️IV 32.5% vs VIX 17.9 indicates rich premiums, but front-end elevated near expiry
📌Max pain pins at $37 this week and next, gamma flip at $37

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Above

GEX regime: Pinning ($+437.1M)

Gamma flip: ~$37.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 187,165 (3.3% below spot)

OI concentrations: Heavy put OI at $37 (37.5% of total) for weekly and monthly; put floor $32-$36

Verdict: High pin risk at $37 due to concentrated OI and gamma flip; spot $38.22 above, pinning could pull to $37

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-05-15 $37.00/$35.00 put spread
Sell 2026-05-15 $37/$35 put spread to collect premium with defined risk. Edge from elevated IV and pin support.
Credit: $0.04-$0.04
Max loss: $1.96
BE: $36.96
Mgmt: Monitor $37 level; if breached, consider closing early. Otherwise, hold to expiration or 50% profit. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_put: Wide spread (57%). Substitutions: short_put: resolved contract 2025-06-12 $37.00 missing; used 2026-05-15 $37.00.; long_put: resolved contract 2025-06-12 $35.00 missing; used 2026-05-15 $35.00.

Risk Alerts

!Spot 3.4% above max pain $37; risk of pinning pullback
!Gamma flip at $37; break below could accelerate selling
!Front-end IV elevated; theta decay favorable but volatility expansion possible
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on May 13, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.