base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 3.4% from MP; +1 VIX 18
Term structure: Front-end elevated, decaying after 2w, with anomalies in June 26 expiry
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+437.1M)
Gamma flip: ~$37.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 187,165 (3.3% below spot)
OI concentrations: Heavy put OI at $37 (37.5% of total) for weekly and monthly; put floor $32-$36
#1Put credit spread
Sell 2026-05-15 $37.00/$35.00 put spread
Sell 2026-05-15 $37/$35 put spread to collect premium with defined risk. Edge from elevated IV and pin support.
Mgmt: Monitor $37 level; if breached, consider closing early. Otherwise, hold to expiration or 50% profit. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_put: Wide spread (57%). Substitutions: short_put: resolved contract 2025-06-12 $37.00 missing; used 2026-05-15 $37.00.; long_put: resolved contract 2025-06-12 $35.00 missing; used 2026-05-15 $35.00.
!Spot 3.4% above max pain $37; risk of pinning pullback
!Gamma flip at $37; break below could accelerate selling
!Front-end IV elevated; theta decay favorable but volatility expansion possible