Term structure: Front-end puts inflated (2d put IV 126.7), term structure mixed
Spot vs MP: Below
GEX regime: Trending ($-76.7M)
Gamma flip: ~$25.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 88,001 (22.7% below spot)
OI concentrations: Max pain pins at $34 (Jun26, Jul2) and $36 (Jun30); put OI concentrated 22.7% below spot
#1Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $31.00/$30.00 put spread
Sells OTM put spread to capture elevated put skew and defensive positioning.
Mgmt: Close if spot breaches $31 or IV collapses. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_put: Wide spread (161%).
#2Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-17 $31.00/$29.00 put wing and $34.00/$36.00 call wing
Collects premium from elevated IV with defined risk at support and resistance.
Mgmt: Adjust if spot approaches wings; close early on IV contraction. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_put: Wide spread (161%).; long_put: Wide spread (162%).; short_call: Wide spread (79%).; long_call: Wide spread (125%).
#3Call credit spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $34.00/$36.00 call spread
Sells OTM call spread to profit from resistance at $34.
Mgmt: Monitor for breakout above $34; close if invalidated. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_call: Wide spread (79%).; long_call: Wide spread (125%).
!Negative dealer gamma ($-76.7M) exacerbates spot moves
!Put/call volume ratio 2.97 indicates defensive positioning