Term structure: Front-end IV elevated with extreme call skew (2-day call IV 89.7%); back-end IV lower (~24-30%)
Spot vs MP: Below
GEX regime: Trending ($-383.1M)
Gamma flip: ~$32.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 125,414 (7.4% below spot)
OI concentrations: Max pain $36-37; put floor $32; call wall $37-40
#1Call credit spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $37.00/$39.00 call spread
Sells OTM calls to capture premium with defined risk.
Mgmt: Close if spot breaches $37 or IV collapses. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_call: Wide spread (88%).; long_call: Wide spread (86%).
#2Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $33.00/$30.00 put spread
Sells OTM puts to generate income with defined risk.
Mgmt: Roll or close if spot drops below $34. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_put: Wide spread (185%).
!Negative GEX -$383M indicates dealer short gamma
!Put/call OI ratio 0.80 skewed to calls
!Spot 6.6% below MP, could drift upward
!Extreme call skew (89.7%) and negative GEX make short premium risky