base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 1.5% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18
Term structure: Front-month contango; steep put skew in near terms
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+230.5M)
Gamma flip: ~$50.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 51,353 (13.6% below spot)
OI concentrations: Max pain $57 across multiple expiries; heavy put OI 13.6% below spot
#1Cash-secured put
Sell 2026-07-17 $55.00 cash-secured put
Sell 2026-07-17 $55 put for ~$0.44-$0.54 credit. Captures elevated IV, defined downside.
Mgmt: Close if spot nears $57 or before expiry. Roll if needed.
#2Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-24 $55.00/$51.00 put wing and $60.00/$65.00 call wing
Sell put spread $55/$51 and call spread $60/$65 for ~$0.99-$1.21 credit, max loss $3.79.
Mgmt: Close early if spot approaches either wing or before expiry to avoid gamma.
!Short put spreads exposed to pin risk near $57 max pain if spot pins
!Avoid holding short put spreads through expiry due to gap risk below $56.65