thetaOwl

BAC

Bank of America CorporationClose $50.70EOD only
Max Pain
$50.50
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.03
2.0% from close
Price Gap
-0.20
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
0
Low premium
P/C OI
1.26
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 19, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects BAC options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 19, 2026 close
BAC Theta Report
Analysis based on market close March 31, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from March 31, 2026. A newer theta report is available for April 17, 2026.

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Theta Verdict

Attractiveness7.5 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Sell put spreads near OI support with defined risk
Invalidation: Close below $35 gamma flip level
Confidence:
7 / 10
base 5; +1 pinning regime; +1 normal IV; +1 bullish flow; -0 low VIX context

IV Environment

IV Regime
Normal
IV vs VIX
IV 33% — Normal regime for BAC
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Humped at 4/17 (37.5%) and 5/08 (37.0%), normal elsewhere

💰33% IV provides decent premium for a large cap bank
📊Term structure humps offer opportunities in specific expirations

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Above by 1.6% (spot $48.75 vs MP $48)

GEX regime: Strong Pinning (GEX +$59.3M)

Gamma flip: ~$35.00Massive put OI at $35 creates strong support; below $35, dealers amplify moves down

OI concentrations: Call wall $55 (67K OI), Put walls $35 (55K), $47 (52K), $40 (47K), $45 (44K)

Verdict: Highly Favorable — Strong positive GEX and OI concentrations create magnetic pinning effect

Premium Opportunities

#1
put spread
Sell $47/$45 put spread 2026-05-01 (31 DTE)
Strong OI support at $47 (52K OI) and $45 (44K OI). 31 DTE captures theta decay while avoiding near-term earnings. Credit represents ~30% of max risk.
Credit: $0.45-$0.55
Max loss: $1.55
BE: $46.55
Mgmt: Close at 65% profit ($0.29 credit remaining). Roll if spot approaches $46.50. Exit on close below $45.
#2
iron condor
Sell $46/$44P x $51/$53C 2026-05-15 (45 DTE)
Wide expected move ($4.25) provides buffer. Pinning regime supports range-bound price action. High IV in May expirations (30.6%) provides decent premium.
Credit: $0.85-$1.05
Max loss: $1.15
BE: 45.15/51.85
Mgmt: Close at 50% profit. Manage wings independently: roll tested side out 1 strike. Exit if spot breaches either short strike.
#3
cash-secured put
Sell $45 put 2026-06-18 (79 DTE)
For capital-secure sellers. $45 has massive OI support (44K). 79 DTE provides time cushion and decent annualized return. Willing to own BAC at $45 (7.7% below spot).
Credit: $1.40-$1.70
Max loss: $43.30
BE: $43.60
Mgmt: Roll down/out at 21 DTE if tested. Close at 70% profit. Consider assignment if spot below $45 at expiration.
#4
call credit spread
Sell $51/$53 call spread 2026-04-17 (17 DTE)
High IV in 4/17 expiration (37.5%) provides rich premium. $51 is above expected move high ($51.89). Unusual activity in $51 calls suggests potential resistance.
Credit: $0.35-$0.45
Max loss: $1.65
BE: $51.35
Mgmt: Close at 60% profit. Exit if spot closes above $50.50. Do not hold through earnings on 4/15.

Risk Alerts

!Earnings expected 2026-04-15 — Close all short gamma positions before announcement
!Gamma flip at $35 — Below this level, downside acceleration risk increases dramatically
!Bullish flow (net prem +$3.0M, P/C 0.70) suggests underlying momentum — be cautious with call credits
!IV hump at 4/17 and 5/08 expirations — these offer premium but may have event risk priced in
!Massive $35 put OI (55,722) represents institutional put writing — monitor for any unwinding
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on March 31, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.