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AAPL

Apple Inc.Close $296.42EOD only
Max Pain
$295.00
Next expiry Jun 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.49
1.5% from close
Price Gap
-1.42
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
78
High premium
P/C OI
0.73
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AAPL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 15, 2026 close
AAPL Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 16, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

Bullish flow and pinning near $295-$300; 100% beat rate; earnings 44 days out.

Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 1.4% from MP; +1 VIX 16
Most important: Heavy put activity at $297.5/295 vs call volume at $300.
🛡️Put wall at $295-$297.5 heavy hedging.
🚀Call flow at $300 bullish conviction.
⚠️100% beat rate but no premium priced.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
Normal
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
Above
Gamma flip: ~$240.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 59,762 (19.8% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-07-30 (44 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-17 (1d): ±$2.97 (1.0%)
  • 2026-06-18 (2d): ±$4.46 (1.5%)
  • 2026-06-22 (6d): ±$5.90 (2.0%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Near-term IV elevated due to pinning; moves ~1-2%.

Crush estimate: No immediate crush (earnings July 30).

Skew: Put skew elevated at $295-$297.5.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 100% (5/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: N/A

Directional bias: Bullish

Key Levels

1$240.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 2d $296.26/$302.21; 1w $293.34/$305.13
3Max pain pins: $295 (2026-06-17); $265 (2026-06-18); $295 (2026-06-22)

Flow Highlights

Large put buys at $297.5 & $295 (vol/oi >19).

Downside hedging.

Call buys at $300 & $302.5 (115k & 52k vol).

Bullish sentiment.

Strategies

Iron Condor
Sell 2026-07-24 $290.00/$270.00 put wing and $315.00/$330.00 call wing
Credit: $4.78-$5.85
Max loss: $14.15
Max gain: $5.85
BE: 284.15 / 320.85
Trigger: Adjust wings if support/resistance breaks.
Pinning near 295-300 with elevated near-term IV; captures time decay with limited tail risk.
Outperforms: Sell put wing $290/$270 and call wing $315/$330 to profit from low move.
Underperforms: Move outside short strikes invalidates range thesis.
Long straddle
Buy 2026-06-26 $300.00 put + buy $300.00 call
Debit: $7.81-$9.54
Max loss: $9.54
Max gain: Unlimited
BE: 290.46 / 309.54
Bullish bias; straddle captures move
Outperforms: Volatility expansion around earnings
Underperforms: Under-realized move and IV crush hurt long-vol thesis.

Risk Assessment

!Gamma flip at $240.
!Resistance $320-$350 call wall.
!Support $295; break to $289.89.

What to Watch

?$295 support.
?$300 resistance.
?$240 gamma flip.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 16, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.