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XLE

Energy Select Sector SPDRClose $63.64EOD only
Max Pain
$62.00
Next expiry Aug 28, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.77
1.2% from close
Price Gap
-1.64
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
68
High premium
P/C OI
1.52
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
4.5/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Aug 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects XLE options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Aug 21, 2026 close
XLE AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 26, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Consensus-supported lens with chain history and key metrics in the rail.

Conviction
4.5

out of 10

4.5 not lower because consensus on range and downside aligns, but conflicting trade structures and mixed flow signals reduce conviction from a higher score.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas agree XLE is range-bound with downside vulnerability to $52.5, supported by dealer short gamma and elevated put OI ratio.

Where They Diverge

Theta's short put credit spread (bullish) directly contradicts directional's long put (bearish); flow's net call premium (+$2.6M) conflicts with bearish bias.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-07-17 $52.00 put for $1.20 debit

Key Risk

Break below $52.5 flips dealer gamma long, removing pin and accelerating selling to $51 support.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 26, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.