thetaOwl

VST

Vistra Corp.Close $144.00EOD only
Max Pain
$141.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.86
3.4% from close
Price Gap
-3.00
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
3
Low premium
P/C OI
0.83
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
4/4
Partial coverage
Published snapshot: May 20, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects VST options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 20, 2026 close
Consensus-ledMay 20, 2026 close4/4 personas live

AI Consensus

Limited report coverage (4/4 personas) is live. Use available persona cards while consensus is still pending.
Bias
Mixed
Neutral to slightly bullish
Best Fit
Defined risk

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Key Levels
141 / 144 / 149
Magnet / spot / breakout
Main Risk
Event sensitivity

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One-line synthesis

Limited coverage: 4/4 persona reports available

Highest-conviction setup

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Main disagreement

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Persona support grid

Directional

Trend, levels, invalidation

5.5/10
Contribution

**Primary thesis: Near-term pin to $155, followed by a multi-week bearish drift toward $150 and below, driven by negative GEX and a falling max pain trend

Full Report

Levels, trigger, and invalidation map

Open report

Top setup: Bear Put Spread (Multi-Week): Buy $150/$145 bear put spread, exp 4/17 (17 DTE).

Earnings

Event premium and IV crush

4.5/10
Contribution

IV is 58% (high regime) with a sharp term structure kink at the 5/8 expiration, confirming earnings are priced for that week

Full Report

Event pathing and volatility setup

Open report

Top setup: Short Iron Condor (Premium Harvest): Sell $136/$130P x $165/$172.5C 5/08

How to Use These Reports
This hub collects the active report lenses so you can compare how each persona reads the same market-close snapshot.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.