thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $415.88EOD only
Max Pain
$435.00
Next expiry Jun 3, 2026
Expected Move
±$11.88
2.9% from close
Price Gap
+19.12
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
36
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.76
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 1, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 1, 2026 close
TSLA Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 10, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 10, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 26, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasMixed (lean Bearish)
Confirmation: Sustained net premium remaining negative (net premium <$-50M) and continued large put premium prints at high strikes (e.g., $500/$430) while spot fails to reclaim $355-$360
Invalidation: Net premium flips positive (>$+30M) with P/C volume ratio <0.7 and sustained call buying at 340–350 pushing spot back above $355
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +0.5 spot 1.7% from MP

Watch next session: Follow any fresh premium into $340–$350 strikes (calls) — would indicate short-term call stacking/pin attempt; Track additional large put premium prints at $500/$430/$420 (tail hedging) that would keep net premium negative

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$84.4M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.76 — modest put skew (calls still active but puts dominate premium)

P/C OI ratio: 0.69 — OI shows moderate call lean vs today's volume which favored puts in premium terms

Today's flow is mixed but biased toward put premium: large notional of put premium (net premium -$84.4M) is offset by concentrated short-dated call activity around the 335–350 strikes. Dealers show small negative GEX overall (-$25.7M) while near-term GEX concentrations (+$1.8M at $350, +$1.1M at $355) act as pin magnets — resulting in a tug-of-war between short-term call pinning and broader put-based hedging/tail protection.

Notable Prints

#1
TSLA 2026-04-13 $345 Call
Vol: 27,685
OI: 1,470
Vol/OI: 18.8x
IV: 31.2%
Notional: ~$16.89M
Intent: Fresh short-dated directional call buying / dealer overwriting (pin-seeking into nearby expiries)
Dual read: Aggressive buys (bullish) or large buys of calls that are immediately sold/overwritten by dealers (neutral with dealer gamma selling)

Read-through: High notional and very high vol/OI at the $345 call (ITM) is consistent with short-term players targeting a pin in the $345–$350 range for the 4/13 expiry; this supports near-term upside friction around $350 despite overall bearish premium.

#2
TSLA 2026-04-13 $345 Put
Vol: 29,814
OI: 1,859
Vol/OI: 16.0x
IV: 31.0%
Notional: ~$6.56M
Intent: Hedging or pairs activity (two-sided flow around the same strike/expiry)
Dual read: Protective puts (bearish) or put leg of defined structure/straddle adjustment

Read-through: Large concurrent activity in both the $345 call and put suggests structured trades near this strike (expirational positioning) rather than a clean directional only: dealers are being forced to rebalance gamma around $345–$350.

#3
TSLA 2026-04-13 $350 Call
Vol: 37,643
OI: 3,160
Vol/OI: 11.9x
IV: 29.7%
Notional: ~$12.23M
Intent: Short-term call accumulation / pin attempt into 4/13
Dual read: Directional call buying (bullish) or clients selling covered exposure (neutral)

Read-through: The $350 call is a key near-term pin candidate (matches near-term GEX +$1.8M). Heavy volume relative to OI and meaningful notional increases dealer gamma sensitivity around the $350 level.

#4
TSLA 2026-04-17 $680 Call (OTM far-tail)
Vol: 101,975
OI: 2,470
Vol/OI: 41.3x
IV: 137.5%
Notional: ~$0.10M
Intent: Vol-driven speculative flow / low-dollar lottery buying
Dual read: Speculative directional lottery (bullish) or awkward legging of larger multi-expiry structure (neutral)

Read-through: Huge vol/OI spike but trivial notional (last $0.01) — likely retail/spec flows gambling on extreme move or algorithmic gamma scalping; not a material institutional directional bet.

#5
TSLA 2026-04-17 $150 Put (deep OTM tail)
Vol: 33,362
OI: 1,692
Vol/OI: 19.7x
IV: 181.3%
Notional: ~$33K
Intent: Tail speculative buying / cheap long-dated protection
Dual read: Deep-tail hedge (institutional tail protection) or retail speculative lottery (small notional)

Read-through: Extremely high IV and vol/OI but negligible premium traded; keep on watch as a marker of tail fear but not an immediate price driver.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Short-dated call accumulation concentrated in the 335–350 strikes (notably 345C and 350C for 4/13 expiry) — dealers gaining short-gamma exposure near $345–$350 where near-term GEX is positive.

Put additions: Net premium indicates heavy put premium at far strikes ($500, $430, $420, $660, $635 lines show large put notional). This reads like broad tail hedging / protective put buying at higher strikes and longer expiries that pushes net premium negative (-$84.4M).

GEX/DEX consistency: Partial consistency: Total GEX is negative (-$25.7M) which aligns with larger put premium, but near-term GEX concentrations (+$1.8M at $350, +$1.1M at $355) align with the concentrated short-dated call activity — creating mixed dealer exposure (short gamma locally, long gamma elsewhere). DEX is large (+117.6M shares) indicating significant directional share-equivalent exposure elsewhere.

OI clusters: Large structural call OI wall sits at $400–$500 (significant call OI clusters), near-term OI clusters are concentrated at $350 (3,160 OI), $360 (3,855 OI), $380 (4,515 OI). Put OI concentration notable at $280 (4,168 OI), $340 (3,756 OI), $320 (3,281 OI). These clusters create friction: $350 acts as a near-term magnet while $400–$500 function as longer-term upside walls.

Hedging evidence: Yes — evidence of large-scale hedging: heavy put premium at high strikes (e.g., $500 net -$69.7M), plus concentrated near-term protective activity (350/345 put volume). Collar activity is not obvious in the prints, but the two‑sided activity at $345 suggests structured expiry hedges or spreads.

Max pain context: Max pain is $355 for 4/10 and $350 for 4/13; with spot below MP and large short-dated call volume at $345–$350, market makers will be actively hedging into these pins — expect pin pressure between $345–$355 for the next expiries.

Signal vs Noise

~TSLA 2026-04-17 $680 Call — extremely high vol/OI but trivial notional (last $0.01). Likely retail lottery or vol-runner, not institutional directional risk.
~TSLA 2026-04-17 $150 Put — deep-tail speculative/cheap protection; high IV but negligible premium. Watch as sentiment signal, not immediate directional pressure.
~Large concurrent IV-low call & put prints at $345 and $350 for 4/13 — likely expiration rolls or structured expirational activity (straddle/strangle adjustments) rather than pure directional bets.
~Far-dated put concentrations at $500/$430 with outsized premium could be institutional tail hedging or portfolio protection rather than short-term bearish conviction; treat as risk-off insurance.

Key Conclusions

🐂Concentrated short-dated call activity at $335–$350 is creating a near-term pin around $350–$355 despite overall negative net premium.
🐻Net premium is materially negative (-$84.4M) driven by large put premium at high strikes (notably $500), indicating buy-side demand for protection and a broader bearish/balancing dynamic.
⚖️Dealer exposures are mixed: small overall negative GEX (-$25.7M) but local positive GEX at $350 and $355 — expect localized gamma pinning with broader downside insurance pressure.
📌Max pain and near-term GEX line up: $355 (4/10) and $350 (4/13) are the key pins to watch — large expirational flows will likely keep price between $341.45 and $356.45 over next 2 days.
🔍Ignore far-tail lottery prints (e.g., $680C, $150P) as immediate drivers; focus on premium-weighted strikes (340/335/350 and $500 put flows) for institutional intent.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on April 10, 2026.
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Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

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If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.