thetaOwl

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.Close $17.74EOD only
Max Pain
$17.00
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.86
4.9% from close
Price Gap
-0.74
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
71
High premium
P/C OI
0.49
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 2, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SOFI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 2, 2026 close
SOFI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 15, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because positioning, GEX and near-term flows align to reinforce a $17 pin and biased upside toward $19–$20, but the pending earnings binary and concentrated downside puts create a single-event tail that can rapidly invalidate directional or short-premium trades; that event risk keeps conviction from being higher.

Where Perspectives Agree

Short-term pin toward $17 with dealer short-gamma and call-skew creating an upside magnet into the $19–$20 call walls; positioning and flows bias bullish in the near-term but upside is capped by concentrated put OI and pinning dynamics.

Where They Diverge

Flow/large institutional call accumulation signals a conviction breakout to $20, while the earnings term structure and timing imply a post-earnings IV re-pricing and mean-reversion risk that directly undercuts buy-and-hold option directional plays into the event. Additionally, directional conviction in a $17 pin conflicts with protective put buying and structural put concentration at $15–$16 that would flip dealer hedging and accelerate downside if breached.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-04-24 $17.50/$17.00 put spread for ~$0.12 credit (defined-risk), collect premium while the pin holds into earnings.

Key Risk

A sustained break and close below $15.00 flips dealer gamma to net long, triggers rapid liquidation of call-skew hedges and stop cascades — downside would accelerate toward $14.20 and invalidate the short-premium/pin thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.