thetaOwl

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.Close $18.79EOD only
Max Pain
$17.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.78
4.2% from close
Price Gap
-1.79
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.55
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SOFI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 15, 2026 close
SOFI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because positioning, GEX and near-term flows align to reinforce a $17 pin and biased upside toward $19–$20, but the pending earnings binary and concentrated downside puts create a single-event tail that can rapidly invalidate directional or short-premium trades; that event risk keeps conviction from being higher.

Where Perspectives Agree

Short-term pin toward $17 with dealer short-gamma and call-skew creating an upside magnet into the $19–$20 call walls; positioning and flows bias bullish in the near-term but upside is capped by concentrated put OI and pinning dynamics.

Where They Diverge

Flow/large institutional call accumulation signals a conviction breakout to $20, while the earnings term structure and timing imply a post-earnings IV re-pricing and mean-reversion risk that directly undercuts buy-and-hold option directional plays into the event. Additionally, directional conviction in a $17 pin conflicts with protective put buying and structural put concentration at $15–$16 that would flip dealer hedging and accelerate downside if breached.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-04-24 $17.50/$17.00 put spread for ~$0.12 credit (defined-risk), collect premium while the pin holds into earnings.

Key Risk

A sustained break and close below $15.00 flips dealer gamma to net long, triggers rapid liquidation of call-skew hedges and stop cascades — downside would accelerate toward $14.20 and invalidate the short-premium/pin thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for SOFI for 2026-04-15. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.