thetaOwl
HomeOptionsSOFIReports

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.Close $18.22EOD only
Max Pain
$16.00
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.14
6.3% from close
Price Gap
-2.22
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
86
High premium
P/C OI
0.49
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 29, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SOFI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 29, 2026 close
SOFI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 14, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 14, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because multiple signals align on a short-term pin and a theta-friendly environment, but conviction is capped by the earnings binary in ~14 days and elevated IV which materially increases tail risk; institutional flow supports the pin but does not eliminate event-driven volatility that can invalidate short-credit positions.

Where Perspectives Agree

Short-term bullish pin to the $18–$19 area driven by concentrated call positioning and dealer short-gamma; current regime favors collecting premium against that magnet while respecting elevated volatility and an imminent earnings event.

Where They Diverge

Earnings creates a binary risk that directly undermines aggressive pre-earnings premium-selling: the earnings persona signals a large IV term-structure and a potential post-release re-pricing that can wipe short-dated credit trades, while flow indicates institutional accumulation into the pin which would normally support directional continuation — those institutional buys conflict with the earnings-driven expectation of a post-event mean-reversion (one suggests follow-through, the other suggests fade).

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-04-24 $17/$16 put spread for a net credit (short put spread, expires Apr 24) — receive credit, defined risk between strikes.

Key Risk

A break and sustained close below $15.00 (triggered by a negative catalyst or weak pre-earnings print) would flip dealer gamma, remove the pinning effect and accelerate downside toward the $14.20 support gap — this outcome invalidates short-credit and bullish continuation trades.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 14, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.