thetaOwl

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.Close $17.05EOD only
Max Pain
$17.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.84
4.9% from close
Price Gap
-0.05
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.56
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.5/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Apr 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SOFI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 13, 2026 close
SOFI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.5

out of 10

7.5 because dealer gamma and net bullish flow create a strong, measurable pin that dominates near-term action; not higher because a scheduled earnings window (~15–16 days) with richer term structure meaningfully raises the chance of a vol repricing or post-earnings repricing that could invalidate front-month positioning.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market consensus is bullishly pinned to $17 in the near-term — concentrated dealer gamma and call-heavy institutional flow create a magnet to $17 that both sustains price and makes front-month premium rich and sellable.

Where They Diverge

Earnings-term vol structure and elevated longer-dated IV conflict with the pin’s durability: while flow and GEX favor a $17 pin, the earnings event at 4/28–4/29 (and higher longer-dated IV) creates a re-pricing risk into May expiries that could either push front-month IV higher or trigger a vol-driven fade; this event-risk can directly undermine the dealer-pin if participants re-hedge into May. Additionally, elevated ATM IV makes outright directional longs expensive—theta wants to sell premium into pin but earnings-driven rerouting of premium into longer-dated options could make that sale poorly timed.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 01 $16/$15 put spread for a net credit (theta play).

Key Risk

A decisive break and close below $15.00 — triggered by sustained selling that flips dealer gamma (removing the pin) — would remove short-gamma support and accelerate downside toward the $14.20 area, invalidating the bullish pin and making short-premium positions vulnerable.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for SOFI for 2026-04-13. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.