thetaOwl

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.Close $15.98EOD only
Max Pain
$16.00
Next expiry May 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.68
4.3% from close
Price Gap
+0.02
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
44
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.52
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 26, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SOFI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 26, 2026 close
SOFI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 10, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 10, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because dealer gamma and institutional flow align to support the pin (raises conviction), but the upcoming earnings event and elevated IV are a binary tail that can invalidate the thesis quickly — that event risk prevents a higher score until post-earnings behavior is observed.

Where Perspectives Agree

All perspectives converge that current orderflow and dealer gamma are pinning price in the mid-teens (around $16–$17), creating a short-term bullish magnet that makes defined-risk premium-selling attractive into elevated IV.

Where They Diverge

Earnings term structure and the imminent late-April report create a binary that directly contradicts the bullish pin: the market is pricing a post-earnings reversion that could erase dealer pinning regardless of current flow. Separately, flow shows sizable institutional accumulation into calls (a continuation bias) while the theta view prefers selling that same skewed premium — not merely different emphasis but opposing immediate positioning if institutions are long directional exposure rather than hedged risk transfer.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 15 16.0P / Buy May 15 15.0P put spread for ~ $0.45 credit (defined-risk put spread, theta play).

Key Risk

A decisive break below $15.00 (sustained) flips dealer gamma from pin-support to short-gamma unwind, triggers stop cascades and accelerates downside toward $14.20 gap-fill — this single price break would invalidate the bullish pin thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 10, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.