thetaOwl

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.Close $15.98EOD only
Max Pain
$16.00
Next expiry May 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.68
4.3% from close
Price Gap
+0.02
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
44
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.52
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 26, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SOFI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 26, 2026 close
SOFI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 8, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 8, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because positioning, GEX and flow coherently support a near-term pin, but elevated IV, an upcoming binary (earnings/earnings-adjacent term structure) and a clear gamma flip level around $15 materially increase the chance the setup breaks; that combination reduces conviction from high (8+) down to moderate.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market structure and orderflow are aligned with a short-term bullish pin near $16–17 driven by dealer short-gamma and concentrated option interest — this creates a durable magnet while premium is rich for sellers.

Where They Diverge

Theta and earnings personas clash: theta wants to harvest premium via defined-risk short put structures, but the earnings/IV regime and stretched term structure make a post-earnings gap or IV re-pricing that would wipe short-premium positions a real risk; flow shows buy-side accumulation that supports the pin but also signals potential for rapid follow-through if an earnings surprise re-rates the name, which would undermine short-premium trades.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Apr 17 2026 $16 / buy Apr 17 2026 $15 put spread for a net credit (defined-risk premium sell) — captures pin exposure while capping downside into earnings volatility.

Key Risk

A decisive intraday or close-based break below $15.00 — which flips dealer net-gamma from short to long/neutral — would remove the pin, trigger accelerated downside flow and likely push price toward the $14.20 gap/support level, invalidating the bullish magnet thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 8, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.