thetaOwl

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.Close $15.62EOD only
Max Pain
$16.00
Next expiry May 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.78
5.0% from close
Price Gap
+0.38
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
68
High premium
P/C OI
0.52
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SOFI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 22, 2026 close
SOFI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 7, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 7, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 22, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because cross-persona alignment around a short-premium, pin-driven range is strong, but conviction is capped by an imminent earnings-volatility regime and mixed flow that could produce divergent outcomes; the thesis is reproducible but fragile to an event-driven reprice.

Where Perspectives Agree

All perspectives converge that the market is being pinned in a tight range near the $16–$17 area with dealer gamma creating a magnet and creating a short-premium friendly environment while keeping directional moves contained for now.

Where They Diverge

Flow signals of institutional accumulation and large-ticket buys suggest a constructive skew toward upside continuation, but the earnings/IV term-structure and elevated front-month volatility imply a high-probability post-event mean reversion — the former implies sustained continuation while the latter implies a binary event risk that could reverse positioning quickly.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 4/10 16.50 call, buy 5/22 16.50 call (calendar) for net credit — collect front-month rich IV, defined carry into post-front-week that keeps exposure limited.

Key Risk

A decisive break below $15.00 (sustained close below) flips dealer gamma from pinning to long-buying, removes the magnet, and would accelerate downside toward the $14.20 gap-fill level — this outcome invalidates the range/pin short-premium thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 7, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.