thetaOwl

SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.Close $40.64EOD only
Max Pain
$41.50
Next expiry Jun 12, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.03
7.5% from close
Price Gap
+0.86
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
49
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.80
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Jun 9, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SMCI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 9, 2026 close
SMCI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 10, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
5.0

out of 10

5 not higher because confidence scores are only 4/10 across reports and spot is far from max pain, indicating mixed signals; not lower because bearish alignment in flow, theta, and directional gives a coherent downside thesis.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bearish bias dominates: all personas see capped upside near $34 and downside risk to $24, supported by put-heavy flow and negative net premium despite positive gamma.

Where They Diverge

Directional sees pinning gamma near $24 as support, but Flow and Earnings show heavy put activity that could accelerate a breakdown below $24, creating a tension between support and bearish momentum.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-07-17 $33/$30 bear put spread for $1.50 debit — defined risk, profits from downside move, aligns with bearish flow and directional bias.

Key Risk

Break below $24 flips dealer gamma long to short, triggering stop-loss cascade and accelerating downside to $23 gap fill, invalidating the pin thesis and confirming bearish momentum.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 10, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.