thetaOwl

SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.Close $46.90EOD only
Max Pain
$40.50
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.73
3.7% from close
Price Gap
-6.40
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
50
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.76
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 4, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SMCI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 4, 2026 close
SMCI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 4, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.5

out of 10

7.5 not 8.5 because the conflict between long gamma flow and short gamma theta, plus 15.8% distance from max pain, introduces mean-reversion risk that tempers the otherwise aligned bullish signals.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on a bullish near-term view with pinning to max pain (~$40) supported by positive GEX and aggressive call buying, targeting the $48-$50 range.

Where They Diverge

Theta's short premium strategy (short gamma) conflicts with flow's long gamma via aggressive call buying; directional highlights mean-reversion risk if bullish flow fades, undermining the high-conviction bullish thesis.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-08-21 $45/$42 put credit spread for $1.00 credit

Key Risk

Break below $43 (put support from flow) triggers dealer gamma flip and mean-reversion, accelerating downside to $40 max pain and below.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 4, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.