QQQ
Invesco QQQ TrustClose $707.83EOD onlyThis page reflects QQQ options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.
Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.
Outlook
Bearish bias: negative dealer gamma, spot below max pain, trending regime. Downside acceleration toward gamma flip ~660.
Conflicts: Neutral flow mixed, normal vol may cap extremes.
Regime Classification
Price Range Forecast
Key Levels
Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)
GEX: $-797.5M
DEX: +325.5M shares
Gamma flip: ~$660 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 194,471 (4.9% below spot))
NTM gamma: GEX -$797.5M (negative gamma); DEX +325.5M shares long. Gamma flip ~660.
IV Analysis
IV vs VIX: QQQ IV likely elevated vs VIX given normal vol; not cheap/rich.
Term structure: Contango with weekly expiry kinks.
Skew: Put skew elevated; consider put spreads for defined risk.
Flow Analysis
Net premium: Net premium -$2.49B, strong put dominance (P/C vol 1.12, OI 1.58), heavy bearish flow.
Directional prints: 33 put 696 ITM 2026-06-10 — 696 put vol 220k vs OI 1.5k, extreme ratio. IV high. Aggressive put buying, bearish. Could be hedging, but volume points to directional. 32.5 put 699 ITM 2026-06-10 — 699 put vol 185k vs OI 1.4k. Similar pattern: heavy put buying, bearish sentiment.
Unusual: 6.4 call 699 OTM 2026-06-10 — 699 call vol 152k vs OI 644, premium near zero. Likely closing short calls, neutral/bullish. Unusual due to extreme vol/OI. 4.5 call 696 OTM 2026-06-10 — 696 call vol 102k vs OI 951, IV low, premium 0.06. Similar pattern, possibly closing. Unusual volume relative to OI. 28.2 call 697 OTM 2026-06-11 — June 11 697 call vol 13.6k vs OI 143, high IV 28%. Unusual for next day expiry, possibly a speculative position.
Risks & Catalysts
Strategy Viability
| Strategy | Edge | Best Setup | Primary Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short strangle | Conditional | Sell 2026-08-21 $680.00 put + sell $705.00 call Why now: Bearish thesis with downside gamma flip ~660, heavy put flow; short strangle aligns with range-bound expectation but skewed bearish via call strike near resistance. | Downside breakout past put strike (680) causes large loss; upside above 705 also harmful. |
| Long put | Moderate-Strong | Buy 2026-07-02 $676.00 put Why now: Put dominance, negative gamma, bearish dealer positioning. | Time decay; squeeze risk above 709. |
| Bear put spread | Moderate | Buy 2026-07-02 $670.00/$665.00 put spread Why now: Reduces premium cost; high put flow supports bearish view. | Capped profit; needs move below short strike. |
| Call credit spread | Moderate | Sell 2026-07-02 $724.00/$725.00 call spread Why now: Negative gamma favors call selling; defined risk. | Loss if QQQ rallies above short call strike. |
Top Plays
Watchlist Triggers
Tactical Summary
Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.
Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.
These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.