thetaOwl

NOW

ServiceNow, Inc.Close $95.94EOD only
Max Pain
$100.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.70
4.9% from close
Price Gap
+4.06
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
28
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.78
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 23, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NOW options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 23, 2026 close
NOW Directional Report
Analysis based on market close June 24, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Outlook

Bearish bias: spot ~$94, 6.2% below max pain $100. Dealer short gamma (-$4.6M) amplifies downside. High vol regime. Upside risk from gamma flip at $75 (low probability).

Confidence:
6.5 / 10
Base 5; +2 GEX/flow aligned; -1 spot vs MP; +0.5 VIX 19 => net 6.5
Supports: Dealer short gamma, spot below max pain, high vol
Conflicts: Mixed flow, wide ranges, gamma flip at $75
📉Spot below max pain; short gamma amplifies downside.
⚠️Gamma flip ~$75; low probability but high impact.
📊VIX 19 keeps IV rich; premium selling attractive.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
IV elevated (VIX 19, ticker high); options rich.
Gamma Regime
Trending
Trending gamma, GEX -$4.6M short; amplifies moves.
Flow Regime
Mixed
Mixed net premium; P/C ratio balanced.
Spot vs Max Pain
Below
Spot ~$94, 6.2% below max pain $100; downside pin risk.
Thesis duration: Event-specific — Multiple monthly expiries within 3 weeks; gamma and vol elevate event risk.

Price Range Forecast

Next 2 days
$90.08$97.53
Below MP, dealer short gamma
Next 1 week
$87.30$100.30
Trending gamma, downside bias
Next 2 weeks
$84.85$102.75
Support at 84.85; gamma flip at 75

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $100 (2026-06-26); $101 (2026-07-02); $106 (2026-07-10)
EM guardrails: 2d $90.08/$97.53; 1w $87.30/$100.30
Support: $85.00 · $84.85
Resistance: $100.00 · $102.75
Gamma flip: ~$75.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 13,481 (20.0% below spot)
Structural: Max pain $100 (6/26), $101 (7/2), $106 (7/10). EM guardrails: 2d $90.08/$97.53; 1w $87.30/$100.30. Support: 85.0, 84.85. Resistance: 100.0, 102.75. Gamma flip ~$75.

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $-4.6M

DEX: +40.9M shares

Gamma flip: ~$75 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 13,481 (20.0% below spot))

NTM gamma: GEX -$4.6M short gamma; DEX +40.9M long delta; gamma flip ~$75.

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: IV rich relative to VIX 19; elevated implied vol suggests premium selling.

Term structure: Contango typical; front-month highest due to events.

Skew: Put skew elevated; consider put credit spreads given downside bias.

Flow Analysis

Net premium: Net selling premium ~$19.6M; call volume dominates (P/C vol 0.31) but overall bearish premium flow; OI ratio 0.77 indicates more call open interest.

Directional prints: 99.2 call 114 OTM 2026-06-26 — Vol/OI 8.0, high IV 99.2%, low premium $0.05; unusual activity likely speculative buying but net selling context suggests potential sell-side. 55.5 call 97 OTM 2026-06-26 — Vol/OI 2.5, IV 55.5%, premium $0.70; elevated volume relative to OI; could be bullish buying or bearish selling; net negative premium favors sell.

Unusual: 99.2 call 114 OTM 2026-06-26 — Vol/OI 8.0, low premium $0.05, high implied vol; notable outlier activity. 55.5 call 97 OTM 2026-06-26 — Vol/OI 2.5, moderate premium $0.70; unusual volume relative to open interest. 55.5 call 93 ITM 2026-06-26 — Vol/OI 1.7, premium $2.30; elevated activity for ITM call; unusual print.

Risks & Catalysts

!Spot breaks below $84.85 support, accelerating losses.
!Gamma flip at $75 triggered by sharp selloff.
!Earnings/macro catalyst reversing trend.
!IV crush if vol normalizes.

Strategy Viability

StrategyEdgeBest SetupPrimary Risk
Bear put spreadModerate
Buy 2026-07-24 $87.00/$85.00 put spread
Why now: Defined-risk bearish exposure with earnings catalyst.
Upside reversal beyond $100 max pain.
Long putModerate
Buy 2026-07-24 $85.00 put
Why now: Simple convex bearish position into earnings.
Time decay if move delayed; vol crush.
Call credit spreadModerate
Sell 2026-07-24 $114.00/$115.00 call spread
Why now: Bearish-neutral defined-risk credit; resistance near $100-$105.
Spot rally above $100 forces spread ITM.

Top Plays

#1
Bear Put Spread for Earnings
Buy 2026-07-24 $87.00/$85.00 put spread
Buy $87/$85 put spread to profit from downside into earnings
Why this play: Defined risk bearish play aligned with max pain and dealer gamma
Debit: $0.95-$1.16
Max loss: $1.16
BE: $85.84
Mgmt: Close at -50% loss or hold through earnings; target 50% of max gain
Traders seeking capped risk bearish exposure
#2
Long Put for Convex Bearish
Buy 2026-07-24 $85.00 put
Buy $85 put for convex downside exposure
Why this play: Simple directional bet with high payoff potential
Debit: $2.79-$3.41
Max loss: $3.41
BE: $81.59
Mgmt: Set stop at 100% premium; take profits on sharp drops
Risk-tolerant bearish traders
#3
Call Credit Spread on Resistance
Sell 2026-07-24 $114.00/$115.00 call spread
Sell $114/$115 call spread to collect premium on capped upside
Why this play: Bearish-neutral credit capture near resistance
Credit: $0.14-$0.17
Max loss: $0.83
BE: $114.17
Mgmt: Close at 50% profit or if stock above $100
Income-focused bearish traders

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers
IFIF spot breaks and holds below $84.85 supportTHEN buy the 2026-07-24 $87/$85 bear put spread for $0.95-$1.16
IFIF spot breaks below $84.85 support with momentumTHEN buy the 2026-07-24 $85 put for $2.79-$3.41
IFIF spot stays below $100 resistanceTHEN sell the 2026-07-24 $114/$115 call spread for $0.14-$0.17 credit
Exit Triggers
EXITIF spot rallies above $100THEN close all bearish positions
EXITIF long put loses 100% of premiumTHEN exit

Tactical Summary

Bearish bias on NOW into earnings (7/22). Spot ~$94, max pain $100, dealer short gamma. Support $84.85, resistance $100. High vol. Preferred plays: bear put spread ($87/$85), long put ($85), or call credit spread ($114/$115). Exit if above $100.
How to Use These Reports
This directional reflects the market close on June 24, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.