thetaOwl

NOW

ServiceNow, Inc.Close $101.33EOD only
Max Pain
$106.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.15
4.1% from close
Price Gap
+4.67
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
86
High premium
P/C OI
0.78
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
4.0/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Jun 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NOW options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 16, 2026 close
NOW Directional Report
Analysis based on market close June 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Outlook

Slightly bullish near term as dealer long delta and $92 support provide floor, but high vol and spot below MP cap upside.

Confidence:
6.5 / 10
Base 5; GEX/flow aligned +2; spot 9.1% from MP -1; VIX 18 +0.5
Supports: Dealer long delta (+46.2M shares), support at $92, GEX negative amplifies bounce
Conflicts: High vol regime, spot below max pain, negative GEX can accelerate downside
🔻Spot 9.1% below MP $105, bearish drift
📊Dealer GEX -$9.5M, DEX +46.2M shares, net long delta
🛡️Support $92 may absorb selling

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
High; VIX 18.44 and down day elevate IV
Gamma Regime
Trending
Trending; negative GEX -$9.5M amplifies moves
Flow Regime
Mixed
Mixed; no clear premium bias
Spot vs Max Pain
Below
Below; spot ~$95.5 vs MP $105, bearish
Thesis duration: Multi-week — Price ranges extend 2 weeks with defined support/resistance

Price Range Forecast

Next 2 days
$92.41$98.56
Bounce from $92.41 support to $98.56
Next 1 week
$88.48$102.48
Range $88.48-$102.48, pin at $103
Next 2 weeks
$86.48$104.48
Resistance $104.48-105, likely to fail

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $105 (2026-06-18); $103 (2026-06-26); $105 (2026-07-02)
EM guardrails: 2d $92.41/$98.56; 1w $88.48/$102.48
Support: $92.00 · $86.48
Resistance: $104.48 · $105.00
Gamma flip: ~$70.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 13,261 (26.7% below spot)
Structural: Support $92, $86.48; Resistance $104.48, $105; Gamma flip $70

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $-9.5M

DEX: +46.2M shares

Gamma flip: ~$70 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 13,261 (26.7% below spot))

NTM gamma: Short gamma -$9.5M, long delta +46.2M shares; gamma flip ~$70

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: IV rich vs VIX given high vol regime

Term structure: Likely upward sloping; event kinks near OPEX

Skew: Put skew elevated; consider call spreads for bounce

Flow Analysis

Net premium: Net put buying of ~$235M with P/C vol ratio 1.10 and OI ratio 0.76 indicates bearish flow.

Directional prints: 93 put 65 OTM 2026-06-26 — Vol/OI 55x, 15k vol vs 273 OI, likely bought puts (bearish sweep).

Unusual: 93 put 65 OTM 2026-06-26 — Vol/OI 55x, deep OTM put sweep, bearish. 56.8 put 90 OTM 2026-06-26 — Vol/OI 7.6x, 5.7k vol vs 751 OI, aggressive put buying. 409.2 put 148 ITM 2026-06-18 — Vol/OI 6.5x, 2.4k vol, massive IV 409%, near-term put buying.

Risks & Catalysts

!Break below $92 support targets $86.48
!Upside gap to $98+ flips dealer gamma
!Event risk (earnings not indicated)

Strategy Viability

StrategyEdgeBest SetupPrimary Risk
Put credit spreadModerate
Sell 2026-07-24 $90.00/$85.00 put spread
Why now: Dealer long delta and support floor; high IV inflates credit
Break below $92 risks max loss
Bull call spreadModerate-Weak
Buy 2026-07-24 $104.00/$114.00 call spread
Why now: Spot near support, capped upside near 105; cheap debit
Max loss if spot stays below long strike Liquidity constraints: long_call: Open interest below 25.; short_call: Open interest below 25.
Call diagonalModerate-Strong
Sell 2026-07-10 $104.00 call / buy 2026-08-21 $100.00 call
Why now: IV contango; front vol declines post-earnings; bullish delta neutral
Large adverse move before front expiry

Top Plays

#1
Put Credit Spread
Sell 2026-07-24 $90.00/$85.00 put spread
Sell $90/$85 put spread to collect premium while downside is hedged.
Why this play: Best aligns with near-term bullish thesis; high IV inflates credit; support at $92 provides floor.
Credit: $1.67-$2.04
Max loss: $2.96
BE: $87.96
Mgmt: Close at 50% max gain or if spot breaks $92 invalidation level.
Traders expecting sideways to slightly bullish price action with support holding.
#2
Call Diagonal
Sell 2026-07-10 $104.00 call / buy 2026-08-21 $100.00 call
Sell front call, buy back call to capture time decay.
Why this play: Exploits IV contango and front vol decline post-earnings; bullish delta neutral.
Debit: $5.65-$6.90
Max loss: $6.90
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Monitor gamma early; adjust strike/expiration if spot moves.
Traders comfortable with multi-leg options and expecting volatility decline.
#3
Bull Call Spread
Buy 2026-07-24 $104.00/$114.00 call spread
Buy $104/$114 call spread for a fixed risk bullish bet.
Why this play: Cheap upside play but liquidity fail makes execution difficult; limited upside near 105.
Debit: $2.52-$3.08
Max loss: $3.08
BE: $107.08
Mgmt: Exit if spot falls below $92 or at expiration. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_call: Open interest below 25.; short_call: Open interest below 25.
Aggressive traders seeking leverage on break above resistance.

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers
IFSpot holds above $92 supportSell 2026-07-24 $90/$85 put credit spread at limit 2.04
Exit Triggers
EXITSpot breaks below $92Close put credit spread to limit loss to max loss 2.96

Tactical Summary

Slightly bullish near term; support at $92 provides floor. Top play: Put credit spread. Enter if spot holds above $92, exit on break below. Monitor upside to $98.
How to Use These Reports
This directional reflects the market close on June 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.