ThetaOwl

NOW

ServiceNow, Inc.Close $83.00EOD only
Max Pain
$104.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.03
7.3% from close
Price Gap
+21.00
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.83
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 10, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NOW options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 10, 2026 close
NOW Directional Report
Analysis based on market close April 6, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 6, 2026. A newer directional report is available for April 10, 2026.

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Outlook

Bearish with downside risk toward $100 gamma flip and $90-95 support. Confidence: 7/10 (base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned). Supporting signals: GEX -$8.3M (trending), net premium -$81.8M (bearish flow), P/C volume 1.54 (put-heavy). Conflicts: IV 59.8% vs no VIX given (high vol), max pain pins at $105-$110 (bullish gravity).

Confidence:
7 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned
Supports: GEX -$8.3M (trending), net premium -$81.8M, P/C volume 1.54
Conflicts: IV 59.8% (high vol), max pain pins $105-$110
📉GEX -$8.3M trending; gamma flip ~$100 accelerates downside
💰Net premium -$81.8M; put flow dominates
🎯Max pain $105-$110 pins vs spot $102.42 creates upward magnet

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
IV 59.8% — high vol; no VIX given for relative richness
Gamma Regime
Trending
GEX -$8.3M trending; gamma flip ~$100 accelerates moves
Flow Regime
Bearish
Net premium -$81.8M bearish; P/C volume 1.54 put-heavy
Spot vs Max Pain
Below
Spot $102.42 below max pain $105-$110
Thesis duration: Multi-week — GEX sign stable negative, flow regime consistent, max pain ladder trends down ($105 → $100 over 15 expirations)

Price Range Forecast

Next 2 weeks
$90.17$114.67
Gamma flip ~$100 accelerates; >$105 invalidates

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $105 (2026-04-10); $110 (2026-04-17); $105 (2026-04-24)
EM guardrails:
Support: $100.00 · $95.00 · $90.00
Resistance: $105.00 · $110.00 · $115.00
Gamma flip: ~$100.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 10,761 (2.4% below spot)
Structural: Call OI wall $125-$135 caps upside; put floor $85-$90 distant support

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $-8.3M

DEX: +25.2M shares

Gamma flip: ~$100 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 10,761 (2.4% below spot))

NTM gamma: Gamma flip ~$100; negative GEX accelerates moves; +$740K at $110, +$722K at $105 pin magnets

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: IV 59.8% — high vol; no VIX given

Term structure: Humped — 4/24 67.7% > 4/10 53.4% (earnings 4/22 priced)

Skew: 4/24 vs 4/10 ~14 vol-pt differential (sell 4/24, buy 4/10)

Flow Analysis

Net premium: -$81.8M bearish; P/C volume 1.54

Directional prints: call 103 OTM 2026-04-10 — Vol 560 vs OI 120 (4.7x); likely sold (bearish) given net premium call 106 OTM 2026-04-10 — Vol 594 vs OI 157 (3.8x); likely sold (bearish) given net premium

Unusual: 50.7 put 178 ITM 2026-06-18 — Vol 1,107 vs OI 190 (5.8x); deep ITM put likely hedging

Risks & Catalysts

!Gamma flip ~$100 accelerates downside
!Earnings 4/22 (IV 67.7% on 4/24) vol crush risk
!Max pain $105-$110 upward pin gravity
!High IV 59.8% may compress

Strategy Viability

StrategyEdgeBest SetupPrimary Risk
Long stockWeakAvoid; GEX trending negativeDownside acceleration
Short stockModerate-StrongSell shares at $102.42Max pain pin to $105-$110
Covered callModerateOwn shares, sell $105 call 4/17Downside below cost basis
Cash-secured put / put spreadModerate-WeakSell $100/$95 put spread 4/17Gamma flip break
Long callsWeakAvoid; flow bearishIV crush
Long puts / bear put spreadModerate-StrongBuy $100/$95 put spread 4/17Max pain pin
Iron condorModerate$95/$90P x $110/$115C 4/17GEX negative, VIX unknown
Calendar/diagonalModerate-StrongSell 4/24 67.7% IV, buy 4/10 53.4% IV regular calendar at $105Earnings vol crush
PMCC / LEAPS diagonalModerateBuy 2027-03-19 $100 call, sell 4/17 $110 callTime decay on short leg

Top Plays

#1
Bear Put Spread
Buy $100/$95 put spread 4/17
Defined-risk bearish play targeting gamma flip $100 and support $95
Debit: $2.00-$2.50
Max loss: $2.50
BE: $97.50
Mgmt: Take profit at 50% max profit; cut if spot >$105
Bearish traders wanting defined risk
#2
Short Stock
Sell shares at $102.42
Direct bearish exposure aligned with GEX trending negative and net premium flow
Credit: $102.42-$102.42
BE: $102.42
Mgmt: Cover if spot >$105 (max pain pin)
Aggressive traders comfortable with unlimited risk
#3
Regular Calendar
Sell 4/24 $105 call (67.7% IV), buy 4/10 $105 call (53.4% IV)
Sell high IV (67.7%) earnings week, buy lower IV (53.4%) near-term; +14 vol-pt edge
Credit: $1.50-$2.00
Mgmt: Close after earnings; cut if IV spike on short leg
Vol traders hedging earnings crush; 30+ DTE improves theta decay management

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers
IFSpot breaks below $100 (gamma flip)Buy $100/$95 put spread 4/17
IFSpot tags $105 (max pain pin) and holdsSell $105/$110 call spread 4/10
Exit Triggers
EXITSpot closes below $95 (support)Take profit on bear put spreads
EXITVIX unknown but IV drops below 50%Exit all short premium positions

Tactical Summary

Bearish thesis with downside toward $100 gamma flip and $95 support; invalidation above $105 max pain pin. Regime favors directional bearish plays (short stock, bear put spreads) and vol calendars selling high IV earnings week. Top plays: bear put spread for defined risk, short stock for aggressive, calendar for vol edge.

Read the Directional analysis for NOW for 2026-04-06. Each report is a market-close snapshot with regime read, key levels, and strategy context that translates options positioning into an actionable setup.