MU
Micron Technology, Inc.Close $762.10EOD onlyThis page reflects MU options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.
Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.
Outlook
MU in high-vol, gamma-pinning regime with spot above max pain. Positive dealer gamma ($66.3M) supports near-term price stability, but 8.9% premium over MP ($700) suggests pinning risk. Multi-week bullish bias due to structural support at $660 and dealer net long (87.8M shares).
Conflicts: Spot 8.9% above MP, high vol regime, gamma flip at $620 tail risk.
Regime Classification
Price Range Forecast
Key Levels
Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)
GEX: $+66.3M
DEX: +87.8M shares
Gamma flip: ~$620 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 17,472 (18.6% below spot))
NTM gamma: GEX +$66.3M (long gamma), DEX +87.8M shares (net long); gamma flip at ~$620.
IV Analysis
IV vs VIX: MU IV elevated vs VIX (16.76), consistent with high vol regime; premium rich for short vol.
Term structure: Likely contango with event kinks around weekly expiries; front-week elevated.
Skew: Put skew elevated; selling puts at $660 support could be attractive given positive GEX.
Flow Analysis
Net premium: Net premium +$1.01B; P/C vol ratio 0.88 (call-heavy) but OI ratio 1.30 (put-heavy), indicating near-term bullish bias with longer-term bearish hedging.
Directional prints: 60.1 call 760 ITM 2026-05-22 — Vol/OI 6.6x at $760 call 5/22; bullish upside bets, likely bought. IV 60%. Preferred: bought. 63 call 755 ITM 2026-05-22 — Vol/OI 6.3x at $755 call 5/22; similar bullish flow. Bought aggressively. Preferred: bought.
Unusual: 78.1 call 755 ITM 2026-05-29 — Vol/OI 22.1x, extreme. $755 call 5/29; new bullish bets. IV 78%. Preferred: bought. 85 put 740 OTM 2026-06-26 — Vol/OI 19.3x for $740 put June; bearish hedge. IV 85%. Preferred: bought as downside protection. 91.1 put 620 OTM 2026-05-29 — Vol/OI 9.9x deep OTM put; tail-risk bet. IV 91%. Preferred: bought.
Risks & Catalysts
Strategy Viability
| Strategy | Edge | Best Setup | Primary Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull call spread | Moderate | Buy 2026-06-26 $800.00/$805.00 call spread Why now: Positive dealer gamma and bullish flow support higher prices; spread reduces cost and defines risk. | Upside capped at 800; pinning risk if spot stays below 750. Liquidity constraints: short_call: Open interest below 25. |
| Call calendar | Moderate | Sell 2026-06-05 $800.00 call / buy 2026-06-26 $800.00 call Why now: High near-term vol makes short call attractive; long call captures expected rally after earnings. | If spot surges early, short call may cap gains; assignment risk near earnings. |
| Long call | Moderate-Strong | Buy 2026-06-26 $800.00 call Why now: Dealer gamma support and call-heavy flow suggest upside; defined downside with unlimited upside. | Time decay accelerates after earnings; high premium due to high vol. |
Top Plays
Watchlist Triggers
Tactical Summary
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These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.