Term structure: Steep contango to 8 DTE then flat; front OTM extreme
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Trending ($-7.1M)
Gamma flip: ~$800.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 6,745 (5.9% below spot)
OI concentrations: Heavy put OI at $800, calls at $1000-$1020
#1Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-24 $735.00/$610.00 put wing and $1070.00/$1190.00 call wing
Sells OTM put & call wings to capture elevated IV, with capped risk.
Mgmt: Close at 50% profit or if spot nears short strikes; roll if IV expands. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_put: Open interest below 25.; long_put: Open interest below 25.; short_call: Open interest below 25.; long_call: Open interest below 25.
#2Put credit spread
Sell 2026-08-21 $660.00/$540.00 put spread
Sells put spread to collect credit, betting spot stays above short strike.
Mgmt: Exit at 50% profit or if spot breaches short strike; adjust roll if needed. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_put: Volume below 5.
!Negative GEX (-$7.1M) amplifies moves
!Extreme OTM IV front-month (300%+) indicates tail risk
!Spot 6.2% above max pain, vulnerable to pin
!Gamma risk from heavy OI near spot
!Contango favorable, but avoid front-month vega