thetaOwl

LITE

Lumentum Holdings Inc.Close $875.36EOD only
Max Pain
$800.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$55.90
6.4% from close
Price Gap
-75.36
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
51
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.32
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
4.0/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Jun 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects LITE options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 16, 2026 close
LITE Theta Report
Analysis based on market close June 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness3 / 10
Sizing: Conservative
Primary: Neutral/Defensive
Invalidation: Spot break below gamma flip at $800
Confidence:
3.5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; -1 spot 8.7% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

IV Environment

IV Regime
High
IV vs VIX
Very high (110% vs 18.4 VIX)
Favorable?
No

Term structure: Steep near-term contango, front-month IV 71% decaying to 89% at 9 days; elevated skew

📉IV elevated but gamma risk extreme near expiry

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Above

GEX regime: Trending ($-3.3M)

Gamma flip: ~$800.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 6,751 (8.0% below spot)

OI concentrations: Concentrated put OI at $800 (7K) and call wall at $1000-$1020; max pain pins at $800, $890, $940

Verdict: Moderate pin risk due to tight OI concentration gap around spot; theta decay high but gamma flip at $800

Premium Opportunities

#1
Call diagonal
Sell 2026-07-17 $900.00 call / buy 2026-08-21 $950.00 call
Sell near-term call, buy later call to capture theta decay and IV drop post-earnings.
Debit: $31.46-$38.45
Max loss: $38.45
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Exit if spot breaks below $850 invalidation. Consider rolling if IV collapses.
#2
Put diagonal
Sell 2026-07-17 $790.00 put / buy 2026-08-21 $900.00 put
Sell front-month put, buy later put to benefit from put skew normalization.
Debit: $94.10-$115.01
Max loss: $115.01
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Manage delta exposure; exit if spot rises above $850. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_put: Volume below 5.

Risk Alerts

!Negative dealer gamma ($-3.3M) amplifies spot moves
!High IV (avg ~110%) with looming max-pain expiry
!Put/Call OI ratio 1.31 suggests bearish skew
!Spot 8% above max pain, vulnerable to pinning
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on June 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.