thetaOwl

JPM

JP Morgan Chase & Co.Close $301.98EOD only
Max Pain
$300.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.92
1.6% from close
Price Gap
-1.98
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
1
Low premium
P/C OI
1.07
Balanced positioning
Consensus
4/4
Partial coverage
Published snapshot: May 20, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects JPM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 20, 2026 close
JPM Flow Report
Analysis based on market close March 31, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasNeutral to Slightly Bearish
Confirmation: Spot breaks below $290 (max pain for nearest expiry) on elevated put volume, confirming defensive positioning.
Invalidation: Spot reclaims $295 and holds, with call flow accelerating above $300, negating the near-term put pressure.
Confidence:
5.5 / 10
base 5; +1 for significant put flow near spot; -0.5 for mixed net premium; +0 for GEX/flow alignment

Watch next session: $295 and $297.5 Put activity for 4/2 expiry; Any call buying above $300 to challenge the put walls

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$27.2M (mixed, skewed by deep OTM calls)

P/C volume ratio: 0.81 — slight put lean

P/C OI ratio: 1.21 — structural put lean in positioning

Flow shows defensive hedging and profit-taking near current highs, with a structural put lean in open interest. The bullish net premium is misleading, driven by massive, likely speculative, premium in deep OTM calls far from spot.

Notable Prints

#1
JPM 4/2 $295 Put
Vol: 1,222
OI: 504
Vol/OI: 2.4x
IV: 34.3%
Notional: ~$3.6M
Intent: Short-term hedge/protection or bearish bet
Dual read: Bought (bearish hedge) or sold (covered call/wheel)

Read-through: Most significant near-term flow. Establishes a defensive position just above spot ($294.16), targeting a move below $295 before Friday. High IV suggests bought puts.

#2
JPM 4/10 $250 Put
Vol: 844
OI: 303
Vol/OI: 2.8x
IV: 50.5%
Notional: ~$2.1M
Intent: Tail-risk hedge or defined-risk put spread leg
Dual read: Bought (far OTM protection) or sold (cash-secured put)

Read-through: High IV (50.5%) strongly suggests these were bought, not sold. This is a cheap, far OTM hedge (~15% below spot) for a portfolio, not a direct directional bet on JPM crashing.

#3
JPM 4/2 $297.5 Put
Vol: 647
OI: 116
Vol/OI: 5.6x
IV: 35.3%
Notional: ~$1.9M
Intent: Fresh bearish positioning or hedge against a failed breakout
Dual read: Bought (bearish) or sold (bullish premium sell)

Read-through: Paired with the $295P flow, this creates a defensive cluster just above the current price. The high vol/oi ratio indicates new, not rolling, positions. Likely a hedge against a rejection at the $295-$298 zone.

#4
JPM 5/8 $230 Put
Vol: 500
OI: 250
Vol/OI: 2.0x
IV: 49.3%
Notional: ~$1.2M
Intent: Longer-dated tail-risk hedge
Dual read: Bought (protection) or sold (cash-secured put)

Read-through: Similar to the 4/10 $250P but further out in time. High IV again points to being bought. This is portfolio insurance, not a near-term directional signal.

#5
JPM 4/10 $295 Call
Vol: 1,126
OI: 647
Vol/OI: 1.7x
IV: 23.1%
Notional: ~$3.3M
Intent: Covered call writing or call selling against existing long stock
Dual read: Sold (neutral/bearish income) or bought (bullish breakout)

Read-through: Lower IV (23.1%) vs. the put prints suggests these were likely sold, not bought. This is consistent with a neutral-to-bearish income strategy at a key resistance level ($295), capping upside for the next 10 days.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Minimal. The 4/10 $287.5C and 7/17 $305C prints are small and not convincingly bullish. Major call OI is at $320 and $340, far from spot.

Put additions: Near-term: $295P & $297.5P (4/2). Mid-term: $250P (4/10), $230P (5/8). Positioning is defensive.

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes — Positive GEX (+$26.9M) suggests a pinning/pull effect, which aligns with the heavy put OI below and call OI above creating mean reversion pressure. Flow adds near-term put pressure, but GEX may dampen moves.

OI clusters: Major Put Walls: $200 (14.5K OI), $250 (13.9K OI), $230 (9.2K OI). Major Call Walls: $320 (11.2K OI), $340 (6.3K OI), $310 (5.8K OI). Creates a wide channel with strong support far below and resistance far above.

Hedging evidence: Strong evidence. The $250P and $230P buys (high IV, far OTM) are classic institutional tail-risk hedges. The $295/$297.5P buys are nearer-term protection.

Max pain context: Nearest expiry (4/2) MP is $290, ~1.4% below spot. Spot is being pulled between the put flow just above ($295-$297.5) and the max pain magnet at $290. The rising MP trend to $310 long-term is a bullish structural backdrop.

Signal vs Noise

~Massive net premium from $200, $105, $220 Calls: These are deep OTM (25-60% below spot) and account for the entire bullish net premium reading. This is likely speculative, low-probability lottery ticket buying or structured product flow, NOT a near-term directional signal for JPM stock.
~4/10 $287.5 Call Print: Low IV (23.4%) and at-the-money. This could be part of a calendar spread, diagonal, or covered call roll. Isolated volume is not a clear directional buy signal.
~The 7/17 $305 Call Print: Moderate volume, could be a LEAP initiation or a diagonal spread leg. Without paired activity, it's weak as a standalone bullish signal.

Key Conclusions

🛡️Defensive posture dominates near-term flow with significant put buying at $295-$297.5.
⚖️Positive Gamma (GEX +$26.9M) creates a pinning effect, conflicting with bearish flow and favoring range-bound action near $290-$295.
📈Ignore the bullish net premium; it's driven by noise (deep OTM calls). Focus on the put/call OI ratio (1.21) and near-spot put flow for the real signal.
🎯Key near-term battle: Put flow at $295 vs. Max Pain pull to $290. A break below $290 confirms the flow's bearish intent.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on March 31, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.