thetaOwl

INTC

Intel CorporationClose $118.50EOD only
Max Pain
$110.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.28
3.6% from close
Price Gap
-8.50
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
56
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.08
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects INTC options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
INTC Directional Report
Analysis based on market close May 22, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Outlook

Bullish bias, upside to $125-$130. Positive gamma pinning at $110, bullish flow. Elevated IV prices event risk. Key risk: breakdown below $110 to gamma flip $90.

Confidence:
8 / 10
Base 5; +2 GEX/flow alignment; +1 positive gamma pin; -1 distance to MP; +1 VIX 17. Net 8/10.
Supports: Bullish flow, +$312.7M GEX, support at $110.
Conflicts: Spot above MP, gamma flip $90, high vol may be priced in.
🛡️Dealer gamma pinning at $110 provides strong support.
📈Bullish flow signals institutional accumulation.
🎯Resistance at $125; breakout targets $130-$135.
⚠️Elevated IV offers premium selling near resistance.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
High — IV elevated vs VIX, event-driven uncertainty.
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Pinning — strong positive gamma at $110, GEX $312.7M, flip at $90.
Flow Regime
Bullish
Bullish — net premium flow positive, low put/call ratio.
Spot vs Max Pain
Above
Above MP by 8.9% — spot above max pain, support at $110.
Thesis duration: Multi-week — Structural support $105-$110, resistance $125-$135; weekly pinning events.

Price Range Forecast

Next 1 week
$109.89$129.79
Support $110, resistance $125-$130.
Next 2 weeks
$104.91$134.76
Support $105, resistance $134.76.

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $110 (2026-05-22); $107 (2026-05-29); $110 (2026-06-05)
EM guardrails: 1w $109.89/$129.79
Support: $110.00 · $104.91
Resistance: $125.00 · $130.00 · $134.76
Gamma flip: ~$90.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 23,124 (24.9% below spot)
Structural: Support: $110 (pin), $104.91 (2w low). Resistance: $125, $130, $134.76. Gamma flip $90.

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $+312.7M

DEX: +206.8M shares

Gamma flip: ~$90 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 23,124 (24.9% below spot))

NTM gamma: Positive gamma $312.7M; gamma flip ~$90 from put concentration.

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: Rich vs VIX, event premium priced in.

Term structure: Upward sloping into weekly events.

Skew: Put-heavy skew; consider selling puts at support or call spreads.

Flow Analysis

Net premium: Bullish net premium ~$153M; P/C vol ratio 0.69 (call-heavy), OI ratio 1.08 (slightly put-heavy).

Directional prints: 17.2 call 122 OTM 2026-05-22 — Vol/OI 11.4; low IV suggests bought calls; preferred read: bullish. 8 put 120 ITM 2026-05-22 — Vol/OI 8.7; low IV indicates put selling or hedging; preferred read: neutral-bullish. 71.4 call 129 OTM 2026-05-29 — Vol/OI 8.7; high IV suggests aggressive call buying; preferred read: bullish.

Unusual: 130.5 put 77 OTM 2026-05-29 — Vol/OI 49; extreme deep OTM puts likely bearish speculation; preferred read: bearish. 70 put 119 OTM 2026-05-29 — Vol/OI 23.3; high vol/OI OTM puts indicate aggressive bearish bet; preferred read: bearish. 81 call 155 OTM 2027-03-19 — Vol/OI 13.7; long-dated OTM calls unusual; bullish speculation; preferred read: bullish.

Risks & Catalysts

!Break below $110 support triggers gamma flip.
!Event-driven IV compression post-settlement.
!Macro risk shifting sentiment.

Strategy Viability

StrategyEdgeBest SetupPrimary Risk
Bull call spreadModerate-Strong
Buy 2026-07-17 $120.00/$125.00 call spread
Why now: Positive flow and gamma pin support upside.
Break below $110 flips gamma.
Cash-secured putModerate
Sell 2026-07-17 $110.00 cash-secured put
Why now: Bullish bias, support at $110.
Break below $110 leads to assignment.
Call diagonalModerate
Sell 2026-06-05 $125.00 call / buy 2026-07-17 $120.00 call
Why now: Elevated near-term IV, own back month.
Upside rally beyond short strike caps gains.

Top Plays

#1
Bull Call Spread
Buy 2026-07-17 $120.00/$125.00 call spread
Buy $120 call, sell $125 call to capture bullish move.
Why this play: Directly targets upside to $125-$130 with defined risk.
Debit: $1.82-$2.23
Max loss: $2.23
BE: $122.23
Mgmt: Exit at target or if $110 breaks; hold through earnings.
Traders seeking limited-risk bullish exposure.
#2
Call Diagonal
Sell 2026-06-05 $125.00 call / buy 2026-07-17 $120.00 call
Sell short-term $125 call, buy longer-term $120 call.
Why this play: Captures elevated near-term IV while owning back month.
Debit: $8.33-$10.18
Max loss: $10.18
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Roll short call if tested; close if $110 breaks.
Traders expecting near-term IV crush and upside.
#3
Cash-Secured Put
Sell 2026-07-17 $110.00 cash-secured put
Sell $110 put to collect premium at key support.
Why this play: Profits from support at $110 with bullish bias.
Credit: $8.24-$10.07
Max loss: $99.93
BE: $99.93
Mgmt: Buy back if $110 breaks; roll if neutral.
Income-focused traders comfortable with assignment risk.

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers
IFPrice holds above $110 support with bullish flow and gamma pinBuy 2026-07-17 $120/$125 bull call spread at $1.82-$2.23 debit
IFNear-term IV elevated and price above $110Sell 2026-06-05 $125 call / buy 2026-07-17 $120 call diagonal for $8.33-$10.18 credit
IFPrice at $110 with bullish biasSell 2026-07-17 $110 cash-secured put for $8.24-$10.07 premium
Adjustment Triggers
ADJShort call of diagonal tested at $125Roll short call to higher strike or later expiration
Exit Triggers
EXITPrice breaks below $110 invalidation levelClose all bullish positions; consider bearish strategies
EXITPrice reaches $125-$130 resistance zoneTake profits on bull call spread; consider adjusting diagonal

Tactical Summary

Bullish bias with support at $110. Key resistance $125-$130. Upside targets $125-$130. Invalidation below $110. Preferred strategies: bull call spread ($120/$125), call diagonal, cash-secured put. Manage risk on $110 break.
How to Use These Reports
This directional reflects the market close on May 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.