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INTC

Intel CorporationClose $120.29EOD only

Max Pain

$95.00

Next expiry May 15, 2026

Expected Move

±$7.05

5.9% from close

Price Gap

-25.29

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

High premium

P/C OI

1.20

Slightly put-heavy

Consensus

7.0/10

Bullish tilt

Published snapshot: May 13, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects INTC options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

May 13, 2026 close

INTC Directional Report

Analysis based on market close May 14, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Outlook

Bullish thesis: flow, gamma pinning, GEX support upside to $121-132. Spot above MP but 22% away; resistance $120-$121 key. Multi-week momentum.

Confidence:

8 / 10

Base 5; +2 GEX/flow aligned; +1 GEX positive pinning; -1 spot 22% from MP; +1 VIX 17.

Supports: Bullish flow, pinning gamma, positive GEX, high vol regime, VIX elevated.
Conflicts: Spot far from MP, resistance $120/$132, gamma flip at $110, dealer hedging cap.

📈Bullish flow and GEX +$5.8M align for upside.

⚠️Spot 5% above MP but gamma pinning near $110 strong.

🛡️Support at $110 (gamma flip) and $100; resistance at $120 and $132.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime

High

IV elevated vs VIX 17; high premium supports directional but expensive.

Gamma Regime

Pinning

Pinning: positive gamma, GEX +$5.8M. Put concentration at $110 flips gamma.

Flow Regime

Bullish

Bullish net premium: call buying, put selling.

Spot vs Max Pain

Above

Spot $116 above MP ($95-$109) but within range; 22% distance minor conflict.

Thesis duration: Multi-week — High vol, flow, gamma pinning support multi-week trend. Resistance defines targets.

Price Range Forecast

Next 2 days

$110.54$121.33

Testing $121 resistance; consolidation likely before breakout.

Next 1 week

$103.16$128.71

Potential move to $128 if momentum holds above $121.

Next 2 weeks

$99.86$132.01

Upside to $132 resistance; bullish flow supports.

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $95 (2026-05-15); $109 (2026-05-22); $100 (2026-05-29)

EM guardrails: 2d $110.54/$121.33; 1w $103.16/$128.71

Support: $110.00 · $99.86

Resistance: $120.00 · $132.01

Gamma flip: ~$110.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 44,393 (5.1% below spot)

Structural: Support: $110 (gamma flip), $100; Resistance: $120, $132; Max pain pins: $95(May15), $109(May22), $100(May29).

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $+5.8M

DEX: +231.3M shares

Gamma flip: ~$110 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 44,393 (5.1% below spot))

NTM gamma: GEX +$5.8M, DEX +231.3M shares; gamma flip ~$110 (put OI concentration).

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: IV elevated vs VIX 17; rich premium supports directional.

Term structure: Elevated front-month IV indicates backwardation; event risk (earnings) may cause kink.

Skew: Put skew elevated near $110; call spreads $120/$130 upside with defined risk.

Flow Analysis

Net premium: Net call premium $167.6M; P/C vol 0.80 (call-heavy) vs OI 1.21 (put-heavy).

Directional prints: 77.2 call 115 ITM 2026-05-15 — Vol 26725 vs OI 6771 (ratio 4.0), bought likely; preferred read: bullish bet on spot >115 by expiry. 79.2 call 117 OTM 2026-05-15 — Vol 20740 vs OI 2296 (ratio 9.0), bought likely; preferred read: bullish directional speculation. 78.4 call 116 OTM 2026-05-15 — Vol 19496 vs OI 2804 (ratio 7.0), bought likely; preferred read: bullish bet aligned with spot upside.

Unusual: 200 put 30 OTM 2026-05-29 — Vol/OI 22.9, IV 200%; likely bought tail hedge; preferred read: bearish speculation deep OTM. 88.9 put 101 OTM 2026-05-22 — Vol/OI 21.4, IV 88.9%; likely bought puts; preferred read: bearish bet against short-term upside.

Risks & Catalysts

!Earnings miss reverses flow.

!Macro downturn stops momentum.

!Break below $110 triggers selloff.

!Resistance at $120 caps near-term.

Strategy Viability

Strategy	Edge	Best Setup	Primary Risk
Bull call spread	Moderate-Strong	Buy 2026-07-17 $125.00/$150.00 call spread Why now: Flow and GEX support bullish momentum; low risk defined loss.	Upside capped at short strike; theta decay if stagnant.
Put credit spread	Moderate	Sell 2026-07-17 $97.50/$87.50 put spread Why now: Bullish bias; selling puts at $110 strike with protective put at $106.	If spot drops below $110, loss limited to spread width.
Bullish risk reversal	Moderate	Buy 2026-07-17 $135.00 call / sell 2026-07-17 $92.50 put Why now: Aggressive bullish expression with zero cost potential.	Unlimited downside risk if spot plummets; margin requirement.

Top Plays

Bull Call Spread

Buy 2026-07-17 $125.00/$150.00 call spread

Long 125/150 call spread, captures upside to 121-132 target

Why this play: Defined risk, bullish momentum support from flow and GEX; best risk/reward

Debit: $5.49-$6.71

Max loss: $6.71

BE: $131.71

Mgmt: Exit near 132 or at 50% max gain; stop if below 110

Traders seeking capped risk, high probability of profit

Put Credit Spread

Sell 2026-07-17 $97.50/$87.50 put spread

Selling put spread at 97.5/87.5, benefiting from bullish flow

Why this play: Bullish bias with defined risk; premium collection at aggressive support

Credit: $2.77-$3.38

Max loss: $6.62

BE: $94.12

Mgmt: Close at 50% max profit; roll if delta shifts

Income-focused traders expecting minimal downside

Bullish Risk Reversal

Buy 2026-07-17 $135.00 call / sell 2026-07-17 $92.50 put

Long 135 call vs short 92.5 put, aggressive bullish bet

Why this play: Unlimited upside potential, zero cost setup, but large max loss

Debit: $4.25-$5.20

Max loss: $92.50

BE: $92.50

Mgmt: Monitor gamma; exit if spot breaks below 110

Aggressive traders with high conviction and risk tolerance

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers

IFINTC holds above $110 support (gamma flip) → Enter Bull Call Spread: buy 2026-07-17 $125/$150 call spread

Adjustment Triggers

ADJINTC reaches $120 resistance → Take partial profits on the 125/150 call spread; stop loss at $110

Exit Triggers

EXITINTC closes below $110 invalidation level → Exit all bullish positions including put credit spread and risk reversal

Tactical Summary

Bullish on INTC, key support $110 (gamma flip), resistance $120 and $132. Best risk/reward is Bull Call Spread. Invalidation at $110. If strong breakout above $120, consider bullish risk reversal.

How to Use These Reports

This directional reflects the market close on May 14, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.