ThetaOwl

GS Flow Report

Analysis based on market close April 6, 2026

Flow Verdict

BiasMixed
Confirmation: Spot holds above $865 (near-term pin magnet) with net premium remaining positive
Invalidation: Spot breaks below $840 (max pain) with net premium flipping negative
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 3.1% from MP

Watch next session: $900C OI buildup (2,388 OI); Put flow at $800-$840

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$45.3M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.15 — put-dominant volume

P/C OI ratio: 0.88 — moderate put lean

Mixed signals: bullish net premium conflicts with put-dominant volume and OI. Institutions are buying far OTM calls ($320-$480) while hedging with near-term puts ($800-$840). The regime is 'Mixed' with pinning gamma.

Notable Prints

#1
GS 2027-01-15 $290 Put
Vol: 709
OI: 130
Vol/OI: 5.5x
IV: 55.5%
Notional: ~$141,800
Intent: Far OTM protective hedge or portfolio insurance
Dual read: Bought (bearish hedge) or sold (income generation)

Read-through: Deep OTM put suggests long-term downside protection, not near-term directional bet

#2
GS 2026-09-18 $370 Put
Vol: 576
OI: 107
Vol/OI: 5.4x
IV: 57.3%
Notional: ~$91,008
Intent: Far OTM protective hedge
Dual read: Bought (bearish hedge) or sold (income generation)

Read-through: Another deep OTM put, consistent with long-term portfolio hedging

#3
GS 2026-04-10 $800 Put
Vol: 523
OI: 320
Vol/OI: 1.6x
IV: 51.4%
Notional: ~$601,450
Intent: Near-term protective put buying or put spread leg
Dual read: Bought (bearish) or sold (neutral/bullish)

Read-through: High volume at $800 (8% OTM) aligns with put OI cluster, likely hedging downside to max pain $840

#4
GS 2026-04-10 $830 Put
Vol: 383
OI: 207
Vol/OI: 1.9x
IV: 48.1%
Notional: ~$1,493,700
Intent: Near-term protective put buying
Dual read: Bought (bearish) or sold (neutral/bullish)

Read-through: Volume spike at $830 (4% OTM) with high notional, suggests institutional hedging near spot

#5
GS 2026-04-10 $840 Put
Vol: 288
OI: 168
Vol/OI: 1.7x
IV: 45.5%
Notional: ~$1,658,880
Intent: Max pain hedging at $840
Dual read: Bought (bearish) or sold (neutral/bullish)

Read-through: Directly targets max pain for 2026-04-10 expiration, likely dealer or institutional positioning

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Far OTM calls at $320-$480 (net premium >$1.6M each), likely speculative or tail-risk plays

Put additions: Near-term puts at $800-$840 (net premium negative), protective hedging near max pain

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes — positive GEX (+$5.7M) and DEX (+8.6M shares) align with pinning regime, supporting bullish flow

OI clusters: $900 call wall (2,388 OI), $925 call wall (2,195 OI), $740 put floor (2,105 OI), $800 put floor (1,684 OI)

Hedging evidence: Strong near-term put flow at $800-$840, plus far OTM puts ($290, $370) for long-term protection

Max pain context: Max pain at $840 (2026-04-10), spot at $866.05 (3.1% above), creating gravitational pull lower

Signal vs Noise

~Far OTM puts ($290, $370) are likely portfolio insurance, not near-term directional bets
~High volume in $800-$840 puts may be expiration hedging near max pain, not fresh bearish positioning
~Far OTM call buying ($320-$480) is speculative tail-risk positioning, not immediate bullish conviction
~IV term structure inversion (41.8% → 47.3% → 44.2%) suggests volatility arbitrage opportunities (e.g., reverse calendar spreads), not directional flow

Key Conclusions

📌Gamma pinning regime with positive GEX (+$5.7M) creates gravitational pull toward $840-$865
⚖️Mixed flow: bullish net premium (+$45.3M) conflicts with put-dominant volume (P/C 1.15)
🛡️Institutions hedging near-term downside ($800-$840 puts) while buying far OTM calls ($320-$480)
📊IV term structure shows near-term inversion (47.3% at 11d vs 44.2% at 18d), presenting volatility decay opportunities via reverse calendar spreads

Read the Flow analysis for GS for 2026-04-06. This AI-generated report covers regime classification, key price levels, strategy recommendations, and actionable trade ideas drawn from end-of-day options data including gamma exposure, delta exposure, and implied volatility.