thetaOwl

GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.Close $339.32EOD only
Max Pain
$325.00
Next expiry Apr 24, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.70
2.0% from close
Price Gap
-14.32
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
33
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.90
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects GOOGL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 22, 2026 close
GOOGL Theta Report
Analysis based on market close April 23, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness5 / 10
Sizing: Conservative
Primary: Avoid short premium near pinned strikes; use defined‑risk alternatives or tight wings
Invalidation: Sustained break and close below $316 or VIX>30 with rapid IV term‑structure widening
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 3.5% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19

IV Environment

IV Regime
Normal
IV vs VIX
Avg IV 42.6 vs VIX 19 — elevated term IV with depressed near‑term ATM (1d ATM 23%) and extreme 1d put skew.
Favorable?
No

Term structure: Very steep 1d put skew (1d put IV ~89%) that normalizes by 1–2 weeks; mid‑term IV elevated (8–22d).

⚠️Extreme 1d put skew + short‑gamma dealer exposure — avoid naked premium or tighten sizing near expiries.
📌Max‑pain concentrations at $328/$335/$320 with dealer GEX +$144.9M — mechanical pinning likely, raising assignment/liquidity stress into expiries.

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Above

GEX regime: Pinning ($+144.9M)

OI concentrations: Concentrations: $328 (4/24), $335 (4/27), $320 (5/1). Large dealer GEX; dealers likely to hedge into expiries.

Verdict: High pinning probability; elevated short‑gamma and a likely localized gamma flip into listed expiries — increases price stickiness, assignment risk, and disorderly fills.

Premium Opportunities

#1
Call diagonal
Sell 2026-05-29 $345.00 call / buy 2026-08-21 $380.00 call
Collect May premium while owning back-month call to cap assignment and tail risk.
Debit: $0.79-$0.96
Max loss: $0.96
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Close or roll if sustained trade above $327.5 or IV term widens; trim into pinning.
#2
Call diagonal
Sell 2026-05-29 $355.00 call / buy 2026-08-21 $400.00 call
Exploits depressed near-term vol vs back month; reduces naked short risk.
Debit: $0.14-$0.17
Max loss: $0.17
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Exit/roll below $327.5 or on VIX>30; avoid enlarging size into expiry.
#3
PMCC / LEAPS diagonal
Buy 2026-10-16 $335.00 call + sell 2026-05-29 $350.00 call
Own long-dated call and sell near-term calls to fund carry with defined LEAP downside.
Debit: $23.94-$29.26
Max loss: $29.26
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Manage roll/assignment risk into pin; cut if close below $327.5 or IV shocks.

Risk Alerts

!Gap or close below $316 invalidates thesis
!VIX spike >30 or rapid IV term‑structure widening
!Assignment risk on short options and low liquidity near pins
!Have explicit roll/exit contingency and avoid enlarging short premium into expiries
!Unscheduled material news/earnings around expiries
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on April 23, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.