Term structure: Front-end pin skew steep; back-month contango typical
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Trending ($-89.5M)
Gamma flip: ~$32.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 125,414 (9.8% below spot)
OI concentrations: Max pain $35; call wall $38-$40; put floor $32-$32; 125k puts at $32 (gamma flip)
#1Iron condor
Sell 2026-06-26 $33.50/$31.50 put wing and $38.50/$40.00 call wing
Sell 33.5/31.5 put spread and 38.5/40 call spread, theta positive.
Mgmt: Close at 50% max gain or if spot breaches wings. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_put: Open interest below 25.; long_put: Open interest below 25.; short_call: Open interest below 25.; long_call: Open interest below 25.
#2Call diagonal
Sell 2026-06-26 $38.50 call / buy 2026-07-17 $37.00 call
Sell 6/26 call, buy 7/17 call; debit limited.
Mgmt: Manage if spot approaches sold strike; roll if needed. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_call: Open interest below 25.
#3Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-02 $33.50/$31.50 put spread
Sell 33.5/31.5 put spread, theta positive.
Mgmt: Exit if spot breaks below invalidation level of $35. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_put: Open interest below 25.; long_put: Open interest below 25.
!Gamma flip at $32 if spot drops -9.8% (125k put OI)
!Front-end put IV 154% warns of excessive near-term tail risk