thetaOwl

CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.Close $32.80EOD only
Max Pain
$33.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.66
2.0% from close
Price Gap
+0.20
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
14
Low premium
P/C OI
1.02
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects CMG options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
CMG Flow Report
Analysis based on market close May 22, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Spot remains above gamma flip at $27.5; put premium continues into close.
Invalidation: Spot breaks below $27.5 with expanding call volume or positive net premium.
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 spot 0.3% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: Monitor $27.5 gamma flip; Watch put/call volume ratio reversal

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$5.3M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.97

P/C OI ratio: 1.01

Net put premium and concentrated put OI below spot exert bearish gamma pressure. Large put print at $32.5 suggests hedging. Near ATM call volume and spot at MP offer temporary support. Expect drift lower unless spot reclaims gamma flip.

Notable Prints

#1
CMG 2026-05-29 $32.50 Put
Vol: 1,666
OI: 728
Vol/OI: 2.3x
IV: 33.5%
Notional: ~$75K
Intent: Bearish speculation on near-term drop
Dual read: Could be hedging a long position

Read-through: Expects downside by expiration

#2
CMG 2026-05-29 $35.50 Call
Vol: 306
OI: 151
Vol/OI: 2.0x
IV: 40.6%
Notional: ~$1K
Intent: Lottery speculation on upside

Read-through: High risk bullish bet

#3
CMG 2026-12-18 $31.20 Call
Vol: 300
OI: 177
Vol/OI: 1.7x
IV: 47.6%
Notional: ~$154K
Intent: Bullish speculation on recovery
Dual read: Could be part of a collar

Read-through: Long-term bullish view

#4
CMG 2026-12-18 $60.40 Put
Vol: 200
OI: 116
Vol/OI: 1.7x
IV: 0.0%
Notional: ~$280K
Intent: Protective put on long stock
Dual read: Or bearish bet on long-term decline

Read-through: Large premium suggests hedging

#5
CMG 2026-09-18 $32.50 Call
Vol: 1,061
OI: 704
Vol/OI: 1.5x
IV: 45.6%
Notional: ~$361K
Intent: Bullish directional bet
Dual read: May open a vertical spread

Read-through: Expects price rise by September

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Sep $32.5 (1061 vol), Dec $31.2 (300 vol), next week $35.5 (306 vol)

Put additions: Next week $32.5 (1666 vol), Dec $60.4 (200 vol)

GEX/DEX consistency: Negative GEX (-$32.5M) and positive DEX (+22.3M shares) consistent with dealer hedging short gamma

OI clusters: Put OI concentration 61,563 contracts below spot (~$27.5); call OI building at $32.5 and $31.2

Hedging evidence: Dec $60.4 put suggests long-term downside hedge; next week $32.5 put may hedge near-term risk

Max pain context: Spot at max pain; pin action likely near $32.5-$33

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: Large Sep $32.5 call volume (1061 vol) with OI 704 indicates accumulation
~Signal: Negative net premium (-$5.28M) and put/call OI ratio >1 suggest bearish tilt
~Signal: Put OI concentration at $27.5 acts as key support
~Noise: Next week $35.5 call and $32.5 put may be day trading activity
~Noise: Dec $31.2 call volume moderate, not significant conviction

Key Conclusions

📈Accumulation of Sep $32.5 calls signals bullish positioning for fall earnings.
🛡️Deep OTM Dec $60.4 put hedge protects against downside tail risk.
⚠️Negative net premium and high put volumes suggest downside caution near term.
📊Max pain and contained VIX (16.7) support pinning at current levels.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on May 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.