thetaOwl

AVGO

Broadcom Inc.Close $382.07EOD only
Max Pain
$395.00
Next expiry Jun 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$10.12
2.6% from close
Price Gap
+12.93
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
46
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.08
Balanced positioning
Consensus
5.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AVGO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
AVGO Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

AVGO strong bullish setup with high confidence. Earnings 80 days out, 100% beat rate, heavy call flow.

Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.4% from MP; +1 VIX 16
Most important: Call OI wall $430-$500 and net premium $97.7M bullish.
📈Heavy call flow suggests bullish sentiment.
⚠️Put floor at $330 provides downside support.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
At
Gamma flip: ~$330.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 16,504 (16.2% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-09-03 (80 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-17 (2d): ±$12.35 (3.1%)
  • 2026-06-18 (3d): ±$14.70 (3.7%)
  • 2026-06-22 (7d): ±$18.05 (4.6%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Upward sloping: 2d ±3.1%, 7d ±4.6%.

Crush estimate: Minimal crush as earnings 80d away; near-term crush moderate.

Skew: Put skew elevated near-term; call skew flat with OI walls.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 100% (5/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Not provided; beat rate 100%.

Directional bias: Bullish due to consistent beats.

Key Levels

1$330.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 2d $381.59/$406.29; 1w $375.89/$411.99
3Max pain pins: $392 (2026-06-15); $400 (2026-06-17); $370 (2026-06-18)

Flow Highlights

Heavy call buying at $392.5 and $397.5, vol/OI ratios 39.5 and 19.0.

Aggressive bullish positioning anticipating upside.

Put selling at $387.5, $382.5, $385, and $392.5 with vol/OI 10-15.

Traders selling downside protection, expecting support.

Strategies

Call Calendar
Sell 2026-06-26 $410.00 call / buy 2026-07-24 $410.00 call
Debit: $9.54-$11.66
Max loss: $11.66
Max gain: Variable
BE: Path-dependent
Trigger: Manage around $392.5 invalidation; consider rolling if IV expands.
Upward sloping term structure and heavy call flow favor this calendar.
Outperforms: Exploits time decay of front-month while maintaining upside vega.
Underperforms: Loss of support or adverse vol term shift weakens thesis.
Diagonal Call
Sell 2026-06-26 $410.00 call / buy 2026-07-24 $410.00 call
Debit: $9.54-$11.66
Max loss: $11.66
Max gain: Variable
BE: Path-dependent
Trigger: Same management as cal1.
Same setup as cal1, labeled diagonal; still captures bullish edge.
Outperforms: Time decay benefit with upside exposure via long leg.
Underperforms: Loss of support or adverse vol term shift weakens thesis.

Risk Assessment

!Earnings gap risk 80 days out.
!High IV on deep OTM puts suggests tail hedging.

What to Watch

?Price action around $392.5 MP.
?Gamma flip level at $330.
?Call OI walls $430-$500.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.