thetaOwl

AVGO

Broadcom Inc.Close $382.07EOD only
Max Pain
$395.00
Next expiry Jun 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$10.12
2.6% from close
Price Gap
+12.93
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
46
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.08
Balanced positioning
Consensus
5.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AVGO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
AVGO Directional Report
Analysis based on market close June 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Outlook

Bullish: GEX/flow aligned, spot near $392 MP, dealer long gamma. High vol risk but VIX 16 low. Key risk gamma flip $330.

Confidence:
9 / 10
Base 5; +2 alignment; +1 gamma; +1 MP; +1 VIX = 9.
Supports: Bullish flow, +GEX, pinning $392, long gamma.
Conflicts: High vol, resistance $410-430, gamma flip $330.
🟢GEX +$44.8M, flow bullish, pinning $392.
🔶High vol but VIX 16; IV rich.
🔴Gamma flip $330 downside risk.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
High IV; VIX 16 low.
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Pinning GEX +$44.8M, spot near MP.
Flow Regime
Bullish
Bullish flow, low P/C.
Spot vs Max Pain
At
Spot at $392 MP.
Thesis duration: Event-specific — Event-specific due to expiry and pinning.

Price Range Forecast

Next 2 days
$381.59$406.29
Dealer gamma supports.
Next 1 week
$375.89$411.99
Resistance caps.
Next 2 weeks
$363.42$424.47
Breakout above $410.

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $392 (2026-06-15); $400 (2026-06-17); $370 (2026-06-18)
EM guardrails: 2d $381.59/$406.29; 1w $375.89/$411.99
Support: $392.50 · $363.42
Resistance: $410.00 · $424.47 · $430.00
Gamma flip: ~$330.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 16,504 (16.2% below spot)
Structural: Support $392.5, $363. Resistance $410, $424, $430. Gamma flip $330.

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $+44.8M

DEX: +52.1M shares

Gamma flip: ~$330 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 16,504 (16.2% below spot))

NTM gamma: GEX +$44.8M, DEX +52.1M. Gamma flip ~$330. Long gamma.

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: IV rich vs VIX 16.

Term structure: Contango front-end elevated.

Skew: Flat skew.

Flow Analysis

Net premium: Net call premium $97.7M; P/C vol ratio 0.63 bullish, OI ratio 1.12 mixed.

Directional prints: 15.8 call 392.5 ITM 2026-06-15 — Vol/OI 39.5; vol 5965 vs OI 151; aggressive buying. Likely bought directional. Preferred read: bought. 47 call 395 OTM 2026-07-10 — Exp 7/10; vol/OI 18; OTM call with high IV; likely bullish speculation. Preferred read: bought.

Unusual: 15.8 call 392.5 ITM 2026-06-15 — Vol/OI 39.5 indicates aggressive buy. Likely bought. Preferred read: bought. 9 call 397.5 OTM 2026-06-15 — Vol/OI 19; low-premium OTM call; bullish flow suggests bought. Preferred read: bought. 98.4 put 335 OTM 2026-06-15 — Vol/OI 9.1; IV 98%; deep OTM put; likely sold for premium. Preferred read: sold.

Risks & Catalysts

!Gamma flip $330.
!Resistance $410-424.
!High vol.

Strategy Viability

StrategyEdgeBest SetupPrimary Risk
Bull call spreadModerate-Strong
Buy 2026-09-18 $410.00/$470.00 call spread
Why now: Net call premium $97.7M, aggressive buying at 392.5C; resistance near $410-424; define risk within available strikes.
Gamma flip below $330; premium decay if spot stays flat; short call cap limits upside.
Put credit spreadModerate
Sell 2026-08-21 $340.00/$310.00 put spread
Why now: Bullish flow and dealer gamma; sell put credit spread at strikes below current spot to capture time decay with tail protection.
Downside gap risk if gamma flip below $330; limited profit if spot rallies strongly.
Call diagonalModerate-Strong
Sell 2026-07-02 $420.00 call / buy 2026-09-18 $410.00 call
Why now: VIX low but near-term vol elevated; calendar captures time decay on short leg with long leg for earnings exposure.
Vol expansion hurts short leg; spot moving against direction; assignment risk early.

Top Plays

#1
Bull Call Spread
Buy 2026-09-18 $410.00/$470.00 call spread
Buy 410/470 call spread to cap upside risk while benefiting from bullish momentum.
Why this play: Directly aligns with bullish flow and aggressive call buying; defined risk below resistance.
Debit: $15.73-$19.22
Max loss: $19.22
BE: $429.22
Mgmt: Exit if spot drops below 392.5 invalidation.
Aggressive traders expecting continued upside into earnings.
#2
Put Credit Spread
Sell 2026-08-21 $340.00/$310.00 put spread
Sell 340/310 put spread to earn premium with wide safety buffer.
Why this play: Captures bullish bias with time decay and downside tail protection; suits moderate risk profile.
Credit: $4.48-$5.47
Max loss: $24.53
BE: $334.53
Mgmt: Close if spot approaches 340.
Conservative bullish traders.
#3
Call Diagonal
Sell 2026-07-02 $420.00 call / buy 2026-09-18 $410.00 call
Sell short-dated call and buy longer-dated call for net theta positive.
Why this play: Exploits vol difference between near-term and long-term; earnings exposure with theta decay.
Debit: $25.34-$30.97
Max loss: $30.97
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Monitor IV skew; adjust if earnings volatility changes.
Volatility traders.

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers
IFSpot holds above 392.5 supportBuy AVGO 2026-09-18 410/470 call spread at ~17.5 debit
IFSpot holds above 392.5 supportSell AVGO 2026-08-21 340/310 put spread for ~5.0 credit
IFSpot remains between 392.5 and 410Enter AVGO call diagonal: sell 2026-07-02 420c, buy 2026-09-18 410c for ~28.0 debit
Exit Triggers
EXITSpot drops below 392.5Close all bullish positions
EXITSpot approaches 340Close put credit spread

Tactical Summary

Bullish bias with support at 392.5 and resistance at 410-424. Prioritize bull call spread for aggressive, put credit spread for conservative, call diagonal for volatility. Invalidation at 392.5; risk of gamma flip at 330.
How to Use These Reports
This directional reflects the market close on June 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.