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AVGO

Broadcom Inc.Close $414.14EOD only

Max Pain

$420.00

Next expiry May 26, 2026

Expected Move

±$11.88

2.9% from close

Price Gap

+5.86

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

Middle-high premium

P/C OI

1.14

Slightly put-heavy

Consensus

7.0/10

Bullish tilt

Published snapshot: May 22, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AVGO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

May 22, 2026 close

AVGO Directional Report

Analysis based on market close May 26, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Outlook

Bullish bias from GEX/flow alignment, pinning near $420 MP. High vol but VIX 17 supports. Confidence 9/10.

Confidence:

9 / 10

Base 5; +2 GEX/flow aligned; +1 GEX positive; +1 spot near MP; +1 VIX moderate.

Supports: Positive GEX, bullish flow, spot at MP, moderate VIX
Conflicts: High vol, declining max pain pattern

🟢GEX +$39.8M strongly bullish

📌Pinning near $420 max pain

⚠️High vol but VIX 17 moderate

Regime Classification

Vol Regime

High

High vol from event uncertainty.

Gamma Regime

Pinning

Positive GEX $39.8M pinning near $420.

Flow Regime

Bullish

Net bullish premium flow.

Spot vs Max Pain

Spot at $420 MP, pinning.

Thesis duration: Event-specific — MP shift through May 29, near-term event focus.

Price Range Forecast

Next 2 days

$413.39$430.64

Pinning $420, range $413-$431

Next 1 week

$401.94$442.09

Resistance $442, support $402

Next 2 weeks

$376.41$467.61

Wider $376-$468, high vol

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $420 (2026-05-26); $415 (2026-05-27); $410 (2026-05-29)

EM guardrails: 2d $413.39/$430.64; 1w $401.94/$442.09

Support: $420.00 · $376.41

Resistance: $450.00 · $467.61

Gamma flip: ~$300.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 14,567 (28.9% below spot)

Structural: SP $420 MP, $376; R $450, $468; GF ~$300; EM 2d $413/$431, 1w $402/$442.

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $+39.8M

DEX: +46.6M shares

Gamma flip: ~$300 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 14,567 (28.9% below spot))

NTM gamma: GEX +$39.8M, DEX +46.6M shares, gamma flip ~$300 (put OI).

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: IV high vs VIX 17, event risk.

Term structure: Term structure premium near-term.

Skew: Skew not detailed; rich IV suggests event premium.

Flow Analysis

Net premium: Net premium $126.5M positive, P/C vol ratio 0.53 low, indicating strong bullish flow.

Directional prints: 27 call 437.5 OTM 2026-05-26 — Vol/OI 33.9x, OI 119. Likely bought, aggressive OTM call speculation. Preferred read: bullish. 38.3 call 445 OTM 2026-05-26 — Vol/OI 32.1x, OI 381. Likely bought, heavy OTM call demand. Preferred read: bullish. 6.4 call 425 OTM 2026-05-26 — Vol/OI 17.1x, OI 1069. Likely bought, large OTM call volume. Preferred read: bullish.

Unusual: 75.2 call 495 OTM 2026-06-05 — Vol/OI 11.3x, OI 213, high IV 75%. Likely bought as lottery tickets. Preferred read: bullish. 9.4 put 417.5 OTM 2026-05-26 — Vol/OI 15.4x, OI 116. Likely bought as protective puts. Preferred read: neutral/bearish. 15.2 call 430 OTM 2026-05-26 — Vol/OI 11.9x, OI 1434. Likely bought, large volume. Preferred read: bullish.

Risks & Catalysts

!Declining MP may pull spot lower.

!High vol amplifies moves.

!Gamma flip $300 far but risk if broken.

Strategy Viability

Strategy	Edge	Best Setup	Primary Risk
Bull call spread	Moderate	Buy 2026-06-12 $450.00/$460.00 call spread Why now: Low P/C vol ratio, strong bullish flow, IV may compress	Max loss if spot below 420
Put credit spread	Moderate	Sell 2026-06-12 $420.00/$410.00 put spread Why now: High IV supports premium, low P/C ratio	Spot decline below 400
Bullish risk reversal	Moderate-Strong	Buy 2026-06-12 $450.00 call / sell 2026-06-12 $420.00 put Why now: Bullish bias, low put vol, high call demand	Unlimited downside if sharp decline

Top Plays

Bullish Risk Reversal

Buy 2026-06-12 $450.00 call / sell 2026-06-12 $420.00 put

Long call and short put to express bullish view

Why this play: Best aligns with strong bullish flow and high IV, offering unlimited upside

Credit: $7.29-$8.91

Max loss: $411.09

BE: $411.09

Mgmt: Monitor spot near 420; adjust if break

Aggressive traders with high conviction

Bull Call Spread

Buy 2026-06-12 $450.00/$460.00 call spread

Buy OTM call spread to profit from upside

Why this play: Defined risk, low cost, benefits from IV compression

Debit: $2.52-$3.08

Max loss: $3.08

BE: $453.08

Mgmt: Set stop if spot falls below 420

Moderate bullish traders

Put Credit Spread

Sell 2026-06-12 $420.00/$410.00 put spread

Sell put spread to profit from bullish bias

Why this play: Collects premium with defined risk, suits high IV

Credit: $4.18-$5.11

Max loss: $4.89

BE: $414.89

Mgmt: Close if spot approaches 410

Income-focused traders

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers

IFIF spot holds above $420 support → THEN enter bullish risk reversal: buy 2026-06-12 $450 call / sell $420 put

IFIF spot holds above $420 → THEN enter bull call spread: buy 2026-06-12 $450/$460 call spread

Adjustment Triggers

ADJIF spot nears $450 resistance → THEN take partial profit on call spreads and tighten stops

Exit Triggers

EXITIF spot breaks below $420 support → THEN exit all bullish positions immediately

Tactical Summary

Bullish bias, pinning near $420 MP. Invalidation at $420. Entry above $420 with risk reversal (rank 1) or call spread (rank 2). Adjust near $450 resistance. Exit if breakdown.

How to Use These Reports

This directional reflects the market close on May 26, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.