thetaOwl

ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York ReClose $1592.00EOD only
Max Pain
$1495.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$34.95
2.2% from close
Price Gap
-97.00
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
32
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.31
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
4.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ASML options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
ASML AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 22, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.5

out of 10

7.5 not 9 because theta's low confidence and resistance risk temper the strong bullish alignment from directional, flow, and earnings.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin to $1600-$1698 with dealer gamma support and institutional call buying reinforcing the upside bias.

Where They Diverge

Theta's short vol thesis (high IV, resistance at $1697) contradicts the directional and flow expectations of a breakout above resistance.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-07-17 $1600/$1700 bull call spread for debit (TBD) — defined risk, profits from pin or breakout.

Key Risk

Break below $1550 removes dealer gamma support, triggering a rapid decline toward $1400 and invalidating the bullish pin thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.