thetaOwl

AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.Close $246.00EOD only
Max Pain
$240.00
Next expiry Jun 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.69
1.5% from close
Price Gap
-6.00
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
80
High premium
P/C OI
0.65
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AMZN options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 16, 2026 close
AMZN Theta Report
Analysis based on market close June 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness5 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Short puts
Invalidation: Break below $227 support or IV collapse
Confidence:
5.5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 VIX 18

IV Environment

IV Regime
Normal
IV vs VIX
IV elevated vs VIX (42% vs 18%) – rich premiums
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: 0dte IV 3% skews average; core term structure 25-38% with backwardation in short term

📈IV elevated vs VIX, term structure steep; premium selling favorable but watch pin risk near $242
0dte IV 3% distorts average; focus on longer-term IV around 30-38% for sustained premium

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Below

GEX regime: Pinning ($+33.2M)

OI concentrations: Max pain pins: $242 (today), $225 (tomorrow), $245 (5DTE). Call OI wall $250-$350.

Verdict: Spot below MP; put support at $227. Pinning risk elevated near $242 today.

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $230.00/$220.00 put spread
Sell $230/$220 put spread, credit up to $2.85, max loss $7.15. Breakeven above $227.25.
Credit: $2.33-$2.85
Max loss: $7.15
BE: $227.15
Mgmt: Close at 50% of max gain or at 227 support breach.
#2
Iron condor
Sell 2026-08-21 $225.00/$220.00 put wing and $270.00/$280.00 call wing
Sell $225/$220 put and $270/$280 call wings, credit up to $3.49, max loss $6.51.
Credit: $2.86-$3.49
Max loss: $6.51
BE: 221.51 / 273.49
Mgmt: Exit if spot breaks $225 or $270, or at 50% max gain.

Risk Alerts

!Dealer net short premium ($-228M) adds pressure
!Put/call OI ratio 0.64 favors calls, potential upside pinning
!0dte expiration today may cause spot pinning at $242
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on June 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.