thetaOwl

AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.Close $248.50EOD only
Max Pain
$220.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.08
2.0% from close
Price Gap
-28.50
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.59
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AMZN options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 15, 2026 close
AMZN Theta Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness8 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Put credit spreads (defined-risk) near 245–250 short put strikes
Invalidation: Close decisively below $240.00 (near-term support/max-pain) or a rapid unwind that flips GEX sign
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 3.5% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

IV Environment

IV Regime
Normal
IV vs VIX
Avg IV 43.8% vs VIX 18.17 — equity-IV materially richer than market vol; near-term ATM IVs: 2026-04-17 ATM 28.1%, 2026-05-01 ATM 47.0%.
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Near-term (2–9d) IV is compressed (28.1%–30.3%) while the 16–37d window is rich (47.0% → 38.9%) — steep front-to-mid curve: good for selling multi-week premium and for calendars/diagonals.

💰High avg IV (43.8%) and heavy net premium flow (+$231.1M) favor sellers collecting theta.
📈Back-month vol (May 01 ATM 47.0%) is rich vs immediate weeklies — consider selling near-term vs buying back-month.
⚠️Very low 0d/2d ATM IV (10.5% / 28.1%) around expirations can make weeklies cheap; avoid naked through earnings.

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Above

GEX regime: Pinning ($+413.7M)

Gamma flip: ~$200.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 37,325 (19.5% below spot)

OI concentrations: Max pain $240.00; GEX concentration pins: +$49.1M at $250.00 (+0.6% from spot), +$22.1M at $245.00 (-1.4%), +$12.2M at $255.00 (+2.6%), +$9.7M at $240.00 (-3.4%). GEX sign: +$413.7M (positive, pinning). Largest OI: $275C (205,814), $300C (140,547), $250C (123,412); Put floor OI: $200 put (37,325).

Verdict: Favorable — strong positive GEX and concentrated magnets near $245–$250 create a pinning environment that supports defined-risk short-put structures; pinning helps credit positions but watch short call strikes and large call walls above $260.

Premium Opportunities

Risk Alerts

!Earnings on 2026-04-29 (14d) — avoid selling naked that crosses this date; prefer expirations that expire before earnings or defined-risk structures.
!Max pain/support at $240.00 — a decisive close below $240.00 invalidates bullish put-selling thesis and may accelerate downside despite positive GEX.
!Unusual activity: concentrated volume in short-dated $250 calls and $245 puts (see UA) — can create localized pin pressure or fast repricing; manage short call exposure near $250.
!GEX is large positive (+$413.7M) — while it pins now, a rapid flip in positioning or directional flow could unwind pinning and produce trend acceleration.
!IV term steepness: near-term cheap vs May rich — calendar/diagonal trades carry vega risk if back-month IV collapses unexpectedly.
!theta_opportunities_fixed_version_note

Read the Theta analysis for AMZN for 2026-04-15. Each report is a market-close snapshot with regime read, key levels, and strategy context that translates options positioning into an actionable setup.