base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.7% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18
Term structure: Steep backwardation; 0 DTE ATM 22%, 6 DTE jumps to 67%, elevated across curve.
Spot vs MP: At
GEX regime: Pinning ($+35.0M)
Gamma flip: ~$490.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 9,206 (6.1% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put OI heavy near spot (9,206); call wall at $550; structural put floor $290-$490.
#1Call diagonal
Sell 2026-07-17 $580.00 call / buy 2026-08-21 $550.00 call
Sell near-term call, buy later-dated call to capture premium decay and vol normalization.
Mgmt: Close before earnings to avoid IV collapse; roll if stock pushes above short strike.
#2Put credit spread
Sell 2026-08-21 $400.00/$320.00 put spread
Sell OTM put spread to collect premium with defined risk below $400.
Mgmt: Exit if stock breaks below $490; adjust strikes if IV compresses.
!Extreme put skew in 0 DTE suggests manipulation risk.
!Gamma flip at $490; break could accelerate.
!High IV environment may not sustain if vol collapses.