base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 69.1% from MP; +1 VIX 16
Term structure: Slightly contango; ATM IVs 68-75%; near-term spike in call/put IV for 2d expiry
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+33.1M)
Gamma flip: ~$390.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 16,273 (23.1% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put OI heavy below spot; call wall at $600; max pain pins $490/$495 next expiries
#1Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $450.00/$420.00 put spread
Sell $450/$420 put spread, collect premium, expire worthless if AMD stays above $450.
Mgmt: Close at 50% max gain or before earnings 2026-08-04.
#2Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-17 $450.00/$420.00 put wing and $600.00/$650.00 call wing
Sell $450/$420 put spread and $600/$650 call spread, collect premium.
Mgmt: Adjust if pin risk develops; close before earnings.
!2d expiry call/put IV spike: potential event risk or wide strikes
!Call OI wall at $600 may cap upside above resistance
!Watch support $447: break could accelerate toward $390 gamma flip