base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 7.0% from MP; +1 VIX 17
Term structure: Steep near-term contango, decays after 2 weeks
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+77.9M)
OI concentrations: Max pain clusters at $420 (nearest expiry), $400. Call wall $600, put floor $255.
#1Put credit spread
Sell 2026-06-12 $420.00/$415.00 put spread
Sell $420/$415 put spread to capture premium with limited downside risk.
Mgmt: Exit if spot drops below $420; profit target 50% of max gain or hold to expiry.
#2Iron condor
Sell 2026-06-18 $420.00/$410.00 put wing and $450.00/$460.00 call wing
Sell $420/$410 put and $450/$460 call wings to profit from range-bound move.
Mgmt: Adjust if spot approaches either wing; close at 50% max gain or before earnings.
#3Call calendar
Sell 2026-06-18 $450.00 call / buy 2026-07-17 $450.00 call
Sell near-term $450 call and buy back-month $450 call to capture time decay.
Mgmt: Close if spot moves outside $430-$470; take profits if near-term IV expands.
!Spot 7% above max pain increases downward pull risk
!High put OI ratio (1.08) may amplify downside gamma